Trader consensus on Polymarket's tightly clustered odds—19°C at 26.5%, 18°C at 19.5%, and 20°C at 18.5%—mirrors uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's March 29 high temperature. Recent frontal passage dropped highs from 23°C on March 26 to 17°C on March 27, ushering persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that suppress solar insolation and limit daytime heating despite mild southerly flows. Forecasts indicate partial clearing potential, differentiating outcomes: fuller cloudiness favors 18°C, while brief sun could push to 20°C. Late March climatology averages ~19°C, with updated CMA bulletins and Jiangbei Airport observations today poised to sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on March 29?
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 19%
17°C 16.1%
$23,244 Vol.
$23,244 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
19°C 28%
18°C 20%
20°C 19%
17°C 16.1%
$23,244 Vol.
$23,244 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
5%
17°C
16%
18°C
20%
19°C
28%
20°C
19%
21°C
13%
22°C
6%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 25, 2026, 6:42 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's tightly clustered odds—19°C at 26.5%, 18°C at 19.5%, and 20°C at 18.5%—mirrors uncertainty in China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS for Chongqing's March 29 high temperature. Recent frontal passage dropped highs from 23°C on March 26 to 17°C on March 27, ushering persistent cloud cover and light rain showers that suppress solar insolation and limit daytime heating despite mild southerly flows. Forecasts indicate partial clearing potential, differentiating outcomes: fuller cloudiness favors 18°C, while brief sun could push to 20°C. Late March climatology averages ~19°C, with updated CMA bulletins and Jiangbei Airport observations today poised to sharpen guidance ahead of resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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