Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March markets reflects a sharp repricing lower after COMEX gold futures plummeted nearly 15% this month from early March peaks above $5,100 to current levels near $4,450 per ounce. The primary catalyst was the Federal Reserve's March 18 hawkish hold, projecting just one rate cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation and robust labor data, boosting the U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. This diminished gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven, exacerbated by position unwinds amid Middle East tensions paradoxically favoring risk assets. With settlement looming on the final trading day, today's potential PCE inflation release—Fed's preferred gauge—looms as the key swing factor, where hotter readings could extend downside pressure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$155,823 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
7.000 $
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3%
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$4.600
24%
4.400 $
71%
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$155,823 Vol.
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$16,091 Vol.
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$5,806 Vol.
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$43,994 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March markets reflects a sharp repricing lower after COMEX gold futures plummeted nearly 15% this month from early March peaks above $5,100 to current levels near $4,450 per ounce. The primary catalyst was the Federal Reserve's March 18 hawkish hold, projecting just one rate cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation and robust labor data, boosting the U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. This diminished gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven, exacerbated by position unwinds amid Middle East tensions paradoxically favoring risk assets. With settlement looming on the final trading day, today's potential PCE inflation release—Fed's preferred gauge—looms as the key swing factor, where hotter readings could extend downside pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Volumen
$155,823Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March markets reflects a sharp repricing lower after COMEX gold futures plummeted nearly 15% this month from early March peaks above $5,100 to current levels near $4,450 per ounce. The primary catalyst was the Federal Reserve's March 18 hawkish hold, projecting just one rate cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation and robust labor data, boosting the U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. This diminished gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven, exacerbated by position unwinds amid Middle East tensions paradoxically favoring risk assets. With settlement looming on the final trading day, today's potential PCE inflation release—Fed's preferred gauge—looms as the key swing factor, where hotter readings could extend downside pressure.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of March 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during March on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$155,823Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket's Gold (GC) end-of-March markets reflects a sharp repricing lower after COMEX gold futures plummeted nearly 15% this month from early March peaks above $5,100 to current levels near $4,450 per ounce. The primary catalyst was the Federal Reserve's March 18 hawkish hold, projecting just one rate cut in 2026 amid sticky inflation and robust labor data, boosting the U.S. dollar index and 10-year Treasury yields above 4.5%. This diminished gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe haven, exacerbated by position unwinds amid Middle East tensions paradoxically favoring risk assets. With settlement looming on the final trading day, today's potential PCE inflation release—Fed's preferred gauge—looms as the key swing factor, where hotter readings could extend downside pressure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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