Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
60%
Republikaner
40%
$30,174 Vol.
$30,174 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Demokrat
$18,046 Vol.
60%
Republikaner
$12,128 Vol.
40%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Markt eröffnet: Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET
Volumen
$30,174Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$30,174Enddatum
Nov 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket gives Democrats a 59.5% implied probability to win Georgia's open-seat gubernatorial race on November 3, 2026, reflecting a fragmented Republican primary that could yield a weakened nominee after the May 19 contest and potential June 16 runoff. Recent polls, including JMC Analytics (March 9) showing self-funded healthcare executive Rick Jackson at 37% amid a crowded eight-candidate field with Lt. Gov. Burt Jones at 22%, highlight GOP infighting, including Jackson's defamation lawsuit against Jones over attack ads. Democrats appear more unified behind former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms (35% in late February polling), with high undecideds but fewer contenders. No general election polls exist yet, but Georgia's battleground dynamics and Democrats' 2025 Public Service Commission victories bolster the edge ahead of primaries.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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