Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, 2026, driven by her commanding leads in recent polls like the Emerson College survey (35% to Geoff Duncan's 13%, with 38% undecided), bolstering her path to a first-round majority or runoff victory on June 16 amid strong name recognition and fundraising. Duncan's 9% reflects buzz from his recent party switch from Republican and qualification on March 3, positioning him as a coalition-builder challenging for second. State Sen. Jason Esteves at 6.5% gains from recent Latino endorsements like GALEO Impact Fund, while others trail in the crowded field post-qualifying deadline. Early voting starts April 27, with undecided voters key to shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKeisha Lance Bottoms 84%
Geoff Duncan 9%
Jason Esteves 7%
Ruwa Romman 1.3%
$106,810 Vol.
$106,810 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
84%
Geoff Duncan
9%
Jason Esteves
7%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
Keisha Lance Bottoms 84%
Geoff Duncan 9%
Jason Esteves 7%
Ruwa Romman 1.3%
$106,810 Vol.
$106,810 Vol.
Keisha Lance Bottoms
84%
Geoff Duncan
9%
Jason Esteves
7%
Ruwa Romman
1%
Mike Thurmond
1%
Derrick Jackson
<1%
Olujimi Brown
<1%
If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:09 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Georgia Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Georgia Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former Atlanta Mayor Keisha Lance Bottoms dominates trader consensus at 83.5% implied probability to win the Georgia Democratic gubernatorial primary on May 19, 2026, driven by her commanding leads in recent polls like the Emerson College survey (35% to Geoff Duncan's 13%, with 38% undecided), bolstering her path to a first-round majority or runoff victory on June 16 amid strong name recognition and fundraising. Duncan's 9% reflects buzz from his recent party switch from Republican and qualification on March 3, positioning him as a coalition-builder challenging for second. State Sen. Jason Esteves at 6.5% gains from recent Latino endorsements like GALEO Impact Fund, while others trail in the crowded field post-qualifying deadline. Early voting starts April 27, with undecided voters key to shifts.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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