Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC) futures holding above key thresholds by June 30, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts amid cooling inflation data, which boosts gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Spot gold trades near $2,325/oz, up 1.2% weekly, supported by a softer U.S. dollar (DXY at 105.8) and sustained central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. Market-implied odds reflect 65% probability of breaching $2,350, per aggregated trader capital, though risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric or strong June PCE (June 28 release). Historical June patterns show 70% upside median from mid-month levels when real yields dip below 2%. Watch nonfarm payrolls for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$24,071 Vol.
$8.000
2%
7.000 $
9%
6.500 $
5%
6.200 $
9%
$6.000
11%
$5.800
19%
5.600 $
24%
5.400 $
28%
5.200 $
40%
5.000 $
38%
4.800 $
47%
4.600 $
51%
$24,071 Vol.
$8.000
2%
7.000 $
9%
6.500 $
5%
6.200 $
9%
$6.000
11%
$5.800
19%
5.600 $
24%
5.400 $
28%
5.200 $
40%
5.000 $
38%
4.800 $
47%
4.600 $
51%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket tilts toward gold (GC) futures holding above key thresholds by June 30, driven primarily by Federal Reserve signals of potential rate cuts amid cooling inflation data, which boosts gold's appeal as a non-yielding safe-haven asset. Spot gold trades near $2,325/oz, up 1.2% weekly, supported by a softer U.S. dollar (DXY at 105.8) and sustained central bank purchases exceeding 1,000 tonnes YTD. Market-implied odds reflect 65% probability of breaching $2,350, per aggregated trader capital, though risks include hawkish Fed rhetoric or strong June PCE (June 28 release). Historical June patterns show 70% upside median from mid-month levels when real yields dip below 2%. Watch nonfarm payrolls for resolution cues.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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