Persistent Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 65% chance of a September easing per CME FedWatch, have driven gold (GC) futures to near-record highs above $2,640/oz, reflecting trader bets on lower real yields boosting the non-yielding asset. A weakening US dollar—down 1.5% this month against major currencies—and robust central bank buying, including from China, underpin bullish sentiment, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven demand. Upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could trigger volatility if it exceeds forecasts, potentially capping upside near $2,700 or pressuring prices toward $2,500 support; end-of-quarter rebalancing may amplify moves as traders position for Q3. Polymarket odds capture this consensus, wagering real capital on sub-$2,600 vs. higher thresholds by June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWas wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Juni erreichen?
Was wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Juni erreichen?
$2,125,820 Vol.
↑ $10.000
3%
↑ $8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
3%
↑ $7.000
4%
↑ $6.500
6%
↑ $6.200
7%
↑ $6.000
12%
↑ $5.700
21%
↑ $5.500
28%
↓ $4.200
58%
↓ 3.800 $
16%
↓ $3.400
9%
$2,125,820 Vol.
↑ $10.000
3%
↑ $8.500
3%
↑ $9.000
3%
↑ $8.000
3%
↑ $7.000
4%
↑ $6.500
6%
↑ $6.200
7%
↑ $6.000
12%
↑ $5.700
21%
↑ $5.500
28%
↓ $4.200
58%
↓ 3.800 $
16%
↓ $3.400
9%
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Resolver
0x65070BE91...Persistent Fed rate cut expectations, with markets pricing a 65% chance of a September easing per CME FedWatch, have driven gold (GC) futures to near-record highs above $2,640/oz, reflecting trader bets on lower real yields boosting the non-yielding asset. A weakening US dollar—down 1.5% this month against major currencies—and robust central bank buying, including from China, underpin bullish sentiment, while geopolitical tensions in the Middle East add safe-haven demand. Upcoming PCE inflation data on June 28 could trigger volatility if it exceeds forecasts, potentially capping upside near $2,700 or pressuring prices toward $2,500 support; end-of-quarter rebalancing may amplify moves as traders position for Q3. Polymarket odds capture this consensus, wagering real capital on sub-$2,600 vs. higher thresholds by June 30.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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