David Jolly leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by early polling advantages over rivals like Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings and his moderate appeal as a former Republican congressman actively courting independents and disaffected Republicans amid recent Democratic gains in special elections. A January poll showed Jolly ahead of Demings with most voters undecided, bolstered by recent endorsements such as from Emily Gregory and town halls emphasizing public education and economic issues. Demings trails at 16.5% following a campaign shakeup with a new manager amid a struggling bid, while state Rep. Fentrice Driskell garners 4.1% despite her House leadership role but focus on a Senate run. The August 18 primary looms, with turnout and endorsements key to shifts in this open race succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDavid Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 17.0%
Fentrice Driskell 3.5%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
$11,612 Vol.
$11,612 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
17%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
David Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 17.0%
Fentrice Driskell 3.5%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
$11,612 Vol.
$11,612 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
17%
Fentrice Driskell
3%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly leads trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary, driven by early polling advantages over rivals like Orange County Mayor Jerry Demings and his moderate appeal as a former Republican congressman actively courting independents and disaffected Republicans amid recent Democratic gains in special elections. A January poll showed Jolly ahead of Demings with most voters undecided, bolstered by recent endorsements such as from Emily Gregory and town halls emphasizing public education and economic issues. Demings trails at 16.5% following a campaign shakeup with a new manager amid a struggling bid, while state Rep. Fentrice Driskell garners 4.1% despite her House leadership role but focus on a Senate run. The August 18 primary looms, with turnout and endorsements key to shifts in this open race succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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