David Jolly's commanding 78.5% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from his early polling edge over rivals, including a January survey showing a narrow lead over Jerry Demings amid 58% undecided voters, bolstered by extensive grassroots efforts like over 200 town halls and a recent endorsement from newly elected state Rep. Emily Gregory after her special election flip. Demings holds 16.5% following a campaign manager shakeup on April 2, signaling efforts to close the gap in this uphill battle to challenge Republicans in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis. Lesser-known contenders like Fentrice Driskell trail due to minimal visibility, with the August primary looming as a key test amid recent Emerson polling focused on general election matchups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertDavid Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 16.4%
Fentrice Driskell 4.1%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
$11,612 Vol.
$11,612 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
16%
Fentrice Driskell
4%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
David Jolly 79%
Jerry Demings 16.4%
Fentrice Driskell 4.1%
Daniella Levine Cava <1%
$11,612 Vol.
$11,612 Vol.
David Jolly
79%
Jerry Demings
16%
Fentrice Driskell
4%
Daniella Levine Cava
1%
Shevrin Jones
<1%
Jason Pizzo
<1%
Gwen Graham
<1%
Angie Nixon
<1%
If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 25, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...David Jolly's commanding 78.5% implied probability in the Florida Democratic gubernatorial primary stems from his early polling edge over rivals, including a January survey showing a narrow lead over Jerry Demings amid 58% undecided voters, bolstered by extensive grassroots efforts like over 200 town halls and a recent endorsement from newly elected state Rep. Emily Gregory after her special election flip. Demings holds 16.5% following a campaign manager shakeup on April 2, signaling efforts to close the gap in this uphill battle to challenge Republicans in the open-seat race succeeding term-limited Gov. Ron DeSantis. Lesser-known contenders like Fentrice Driskell trail due to minimal visibility, with the August primary looming as a key test amid recent Emerson polling focused on general election matchups.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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