Trader consensus favors Democratic Party lawmaker Chun Jae-soo at 69% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by an April 1 Dong-A Ilbo poll showing him leading incumbent three-term Mayor Park Heong-joon of the ruling People Power Party 43.7% to 27.1%—a margin exceeding the 3.5-point error—in a key battleground race with 59.6% undecided voters. Jeon declared his candidacy on April 2 before an intraparty primary against Lee Jae-sung, while Park faces PPP rival Joo Jin-woo amid court rulings disrupting the party's nominations elsewhere and national approval slumping to 19%. Park trails at 20.5%, reflecting PPP vulnerabilities, though primaries and campaigns could shift dynamics before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertChun Jae-soo 73%
Park Heong-joon 21%
Suh Byung-soo 1.3%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
$349,148 Vol.
$349,148 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
69%

Park Heong-joon
21%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Hong Soon-heon
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
Chun Jae-soo 73%
Park Heong-joon 21%
Suh Byung-soo 1.3%
Cho Kuk 1.2%
$349,148 Vol.
$349,148 Vol.

Chun Jae-soo
69%

Park Heong-joon
21%

Suh Byung-soo
1%

Cho Kuk
1%

Lee Jae-sung
1%

Choi In-ho
1%

Cho Kyoung-tae
1%

Hong Soon-heon
1%

Kim Young-choon
<1%

Kim Do-eup
<1%

Park Jae-ho
<1%

Park Seong-hoon
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 12, 2025, 7:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
If the result of this election isn't known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democratic Party lawmaker Chun Jae-soo at 69% implied probability to win the June 3, 2026 Busan mayoral election, driven by an April 1 Dong-A Ilbo poll showing him leading incumbent three-term Mayor Park Heong-joon of the ruling People Power Party 43.7% to 27.1%—a margin exceeding the 3.5-point error—in a key battleground race with 59.6% undecided voters. Jeon declared his candidacy on April 2 before an intraparty primary against Lee Jae-sung, while Park faces PPP rival Joo Jin-woo amid court rulings disrupting the party's nominations elsewhere and national approval slumping to 19%. Park trails at 20.5%, reflecting PPP vulnerabilities, though primaries and campaigns could shift dynamics before election day.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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