debased

Joined Mar 2023·51.9K views

no crazy war, yes peace

$692.2K

Positions Value

$897.0K

Biggest Win

4,421

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.3M
Total Volume: 509.3M

Profit/Loss

-$307.46

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

51.6¢

$252,595.00$7,595.00 (3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$252,595.00$7,595.00 (3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

48.4¢

$237,405.00-$7,595.00 (-3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$237,405.00-$7,595.00 (-3.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

99.5¢

99.6¢

$33,183.00$16.70 (0.05%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

$33,183.00$16.70 (0.05%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

29,838.9 shares

83.8¢

86.5¢

$25,795.69$790.64 (3.16%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

29,838.9 shares

$25,795.69$790.64 (3.16%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

82.1¢

95.5¢

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

94.4¢

96.2¢

$21,268.86$390.56 (1.87%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

$21,268.86$390.56 (1.87%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

91¢

95.5¢

$10,291.77$484.95 (4.95%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

$10,291.77$484.95 (4.95%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

95.1¢

97.3¢

$8,648.02$195.54 (2.31%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

$8,648.02$195.54 (2.31%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

87.6¢

94.5¢

$7,349.25$538.85 (7.91%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

$7,349.25$538.85 (7.91%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.7¢

71,231.4 shares

10.7¢

9.5¢

$6,766.98-$828.21 (-10.9%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.7¢

71,231.4 shares

$6,766.98-$828.21 (-10.9%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

96.3¢

98.3¢

$6,598.47$133.40 (2.06%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

$6,598.47$133.40 (2.06%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

90¢

90.5¢

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

93.2¢

97.7¢

$4,023.49$182.82 (4.76%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

$4,023.49$182.82 (4.76%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

71¢

63.5¢

$3,527.40-$416.62 (-10.56%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

$3,527.40-$416.62 (-10.56%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

44.6¢

84.5¢

$3,368.15$1,588.57 (89.27%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

$3,368.15$1,588.57 (89.27%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

95.8¢

97.1¢

$3,263.21$42.89 (1.33%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

$3,263.21$42.89 (1.33%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14.1¢

23,287.5 shares

14.1¢

13.5¢

$3,143.82-$149.30 (-4.53%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14.1¢

23,287.5 shares

$3,143.82-$149.30 (-4.53%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

8.5¢

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 51¢

4,688.8 shares

51¢

46.3¢

$2,170.89-$221.07 (-9.24%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 51¢

4,688.8 shares

$2,170.89-$221.07 (-9.24%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

9¢

22.5¢

$1,989.01$1,193.41 (150%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

$1,989.01$1,193.41 (150%)