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debased

Joined Mar 2023·51.3K views

no crazy war, yes peace

$675.1K

Positions Value

$2.1M

Biggest Win

4,390

Predictions

Profit/Loss

-$258.40
Polymarket

Past Day

Portfolio Profit/Loss Chart
icon for Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢
560,000.0 shares
$295,120.00$15,091.85 (5.39%)
icon for Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢
560,000.0 shares
$264,880.00-$15,027.24 (-5.37%)
icon for Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 81.7¢
25,880.9 shares
$23,163.39$2,023.56 (9.57%)
icon for Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢
10,776.7 shares
$10,076.24$269.42 (2.75%)
icon for Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 53.8¢
11,631.6 shares
$7,735.02$1,482.06 (23.7%)
icon for New pandemic in 2026?

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢
7,777.0 shares
$7,349.25$538.85 (7.91%)
icon for Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 43.4¢
14,543.0 shares
$4,726.47-$1,580.33 (-25.06%)
icon for Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 14.5¢
33,455.5 shares
$4,181.94-$659.01 (-13.61%)
icon for Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢
4,120.3 shares
$3,965.81$125.14 (3.26%)
icon for Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 96.8¢
4,043.0 shares
$3,933.85$21.37 (0.55%)
icon for Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 44.4¢
6,068.9 shares
$3,793.04$1,095.87 (40.63%)
icon for Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 91¢
3,222.0 shares
$3,068.96$136.61 (4.66%)
icon for Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Yes 26.3¢
4,012.1 shares
$2,587.83$1,531.22 (144.92%)
icon for Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Yes 9¢
22,153.3 shares
$2,547.63$553.30 (27.74%)
icon for Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.4¢
2,272.0 shares
$2,185.67-$4.29 (-0.2%)
icon for Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.7¢
432,227.1 shares
$1,945.02-$1,250.87 (-39.14%)
icon for Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 92¢
1,669.9 shares
$1,578.03$41.75 (2.72%)
icon for Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Yes 12.1¢
11,292.9 shares
$1,411.61$42.12 (3.08%)