Profit/Loss
Past Day

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
98.4¢
99.7¢

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
23¢
75.2¢

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
98.2¢
99.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20¢
24.7¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?
92.8¢
96.8¢

Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
91¢
95.4¢

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
73.1¢
74¢

Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?

French election called by July 31, 2026?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20¢
0.3¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20¢
0.2¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
20¢
0.2¢

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
12.7¢
25.5¢

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
5.2¢
12.5¢

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
1.6¢
5.1¢

Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
13.2¢
3.3¢

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
2¢
3.1¢

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
2.1¢
2.7¢

Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?