Polymarket | The World's Largest Prediction Market

Fed decision in January? card icon

Fed decision in January?

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

50+ bps decrease

2%

25 bps decrease

22%

$30m Vol.

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair? card icon

Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

22%

Kevin Hassett

52%

Kevin Warsh

22%

$69m Vol.

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor card icon

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

81%

Tate

$348k Vol.

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua card icon

Boxing: Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

Jake Paul

11%

Anthony Joshua

87%

$3m Vol.

Manchester City FC vs Brentford FC

Brentford FC

18%

Manchester City FC

61%

Brentford FC

18%

Manchester City FC

61%

$353k Vol.

Monarchs

37%

Bulls

64%

$852k Vol.

•CFB• 10:00 PM

Will Trump release Epstein files by...? card icon

Will Trump release Epstein files by...?

December 18

6%

December 19

53%

December 18

6%

December 19

53%

$7m Vol.

Maduro out by...? card icon

Maduro out by...?

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

20%

December 31, 2025

4%

January 31, 2026

20%

$27m Vol.

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17? card icon

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 17?

1%

Up

$79k Vol.

What will Trump say during the address on December 17? card icon

What will Trump say during the address on December 17?

Terrible / Horrible

83%

Big Beautiful Bill

87%

Terrible / Horrible

83%

Big Beautiful Bill

87%

$186k Vol.

Super Bowl Champion 2026

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

Los Angeles R

20%

Buffalo

12%

$625m Vol.

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap card icon

Medline IPO Closing Market Cap

<35B

5%

35B–45B

13%

<35B

5%

35B–45B

13%

$88k Vol.

Survivor 49 Winner card icon

Survivor 49 Winner

Savannah Louie

86%

Rizo Velovic

9%

Savannah Louie

86%

Rizo Velovic

9%

$563k Vol.

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...? card icon

Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by...?

December 31

5%

March 31, 2026

58%

December 31

5%

March 31, 2026

58%

$2m Vol.

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post? card icon

Will Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?

3%

chance

$96k Vol.

Brown University shooter arrested by...? card icon

Brown University shooter arrested by...?

December 19

16%

December 31

73%

December 19

16%

December 31

73%

$128k Vol.

Brazil Presidential Election card icon

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

47%

Flávio Bolsonaro

18%

$8m Vol.

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch? card icon

Lighter market cap (FDV) one day after launch?

>$1B

73%

>$2B

66%

>$1B

73%

>$2B

66%

$27m Vol.

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? card icon

U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?

25%

chance

$296k Vol.

NFL MVP card icon

NFL MVP

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

16%

Matthew Stafford

70%

Josh Allen

16%

$1m Vol.

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet? card icon

Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

18%

Kristi Noem

19%

Pete Hegseth

18%

$292k Vol.

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by...? card icon

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

25%

chance

$183k Vol.

Bitcoin above ___ on December 17? card icon

Bitcoin above ___ on December 17?

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

82,000

100%

84,000

100%

$4m Vol.

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner card icon

2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship Winner

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

Sam Soverel

100%

Michael Mizrachi

<1%

$234m Vol.

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