debased

Joined Mar 2023·52.0K views

no crazy war, yes peace

$683.2K

Positions Value

$897.0K

Biggest Win

4,422

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.3M
Total Volume: 509.4M

Profit/Loss

$19.78

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

51.6¢

$252,595.00$7,595.00 (3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$252,595.00$7,595.00 (3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

48.4¢

$237,405.00-$7,595.00 (-3.1%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$237,405.00-$7,595.00 (-3.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

99.5¢

$33,149.67-$16.63 (-0.05%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

$33,149.67-$16.63 (-0.05%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

82.1¢

95.5¢

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

94.4¢

96.5¢

$21,324.13$445.83 (2.14%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

$21,324.13$445.83 (2.14%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

14,919.4 shares

83.8¢

87¢

$12,972.45$469.92 (3.76%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

14,919.4 shares

$12,972.45$469.92 (3.76%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

91¢

94.5¢

$10,184.01$377.19 (3.85%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

$10,184.01$377.19 (3.85%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.1¢

104,564.4 shares

10.1¢

9.5¢

$9,933.62-$661.47 (-6.24%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.1¢

104,564.4 shares

$9,933.62-$661.47 (-6.24%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

95.1¢

98¢

$8,705.80$253.31 (3%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

$8,705.80$253.31 (3%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

87.6¢

95.5¢

$7,427.02$616.62 (9.05%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

$7,427.02$616.62 (9.05%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

96.3¢

98.5¢

$6,611.91$146.83 (2.27%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

$6,611.91$146.83 (2.27%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

90¢

90.5¢

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

93.2¢

97.8¢

$4,027.61$186.94 (4.87%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

$4,027.61$186.94 (4.87%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

71¢

69.5¢

$3,860.69-$83.32 (-2.11%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

$3,860.69-$83.32 (-2.11%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.7¢

28,842.5 shares

13.7¢

12.5¢

$3,605.32-$354.38 (-8.95%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 13.7¢

28,842.5 shares

$3,605.32-$354.38 (-8.95%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

44.6¢

82.5¢

$3,288.43$1,508.85 (84.79%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

$3,288.43$1,508.85 (84.79%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

95.8¢

97.6¢

$3,280.02$59.71 (1.85%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

$3,280.02$59.71 (1.85%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

8.5¢

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

9¢

20.5¢

$1,812.21$1,016.61 (127.78%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

$1,812.21$1,016.61 (127.78%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 94.7¢

1,814.4 shares

94.7¢

99.2¢

$1,798.96$80.19 (4.67%)

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 94.7¢

1,814.4 shares

$1,798.96$80.19 (4.67%)