debased

Joined Mar 2023·51.9K views

no crazy war, yes peace

$692.5K

Positions Value

$897.0K

Biggest Win

4,421

Markets Traded

Total PnL: +$1.3M
Total Volume: 509.3M

Profit/Loss

$2,313.97

Past Day

Market

Avg

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

51.4¢

$252,105.00$7,105.00 (2.9%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$252,105.00$7,105.00 (2.9%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

50¢

48.6¢

$237,895.00-$7,105.00 (-2.9%)

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Yes 50¢

490,000.0 shares

$237,895.00-$7,105.00 (-2.9%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

99.5¢

99.6¢

$33,183.00$16.70 (0.05%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 99.5¢

33,333.0 shares

$33,183.00$16.70 (0.05%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

82.1¢

95.5¢

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?

No 82.1¢

26,991.9 shares

$25,777.25$3,604.48 (16.26%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

29,838.9 shares

83.8¢

85.9¢

$25,616.66$611.61 (2.45%)

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 83.8¢

29,838.9 shares

$25,616.66$611.61 (2.45%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

94.4¢

96.7¢

$21,379.40$501.10 (2.4%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

No 94.4¢

22,109.0 shares

$21,379.40$501.10 (2.4%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

91¢

94.5¢

$10,184.01$377.19 (3.85%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 91¢

10,776.7 shares

$10,184.01$377.19 (3.85%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

95.1¢

96.1¢

$8,541.37$88.88 (1.05%)

Plague pandemic in 2026?

No 95.1¢

8,888.0 shares

$8,541.37$88.88 (1.05%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

87.6¢

94¢

$7,310.36$499.97 (7.34%)

New pandemic in 2026?

No 87.6¢

7,777.0 shares

$7,310.36$499.97 (7.34%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.7¢

71,231.4 shares

10.7¢

9.5¢

$6,766.98-$828.21 (-10.9%)

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 10.7¢

71,231.4 shares

$6,766.98-$828.21 (-10.9%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

96.3¢

98.2¢

$6,595.12$130.04 (2.01%)

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 96.3¢

6,716.0 shares

$6,595.12$130.04 (2.01%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

90¢

90.5¢

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?

No 90¢

5,240.0 shares

$4,742.17$26.21 (0.56%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

93.2¢

97.8¢

$4,027.61$186.94 (4.87%)

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 93.2¢

4,120.3 shares

$4,027.61$186.94 (4.87%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

71¢

64.5¢

$3,582.95-$361.07 (-9.15%)

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 71¢

5,555.0 shares

$3,582.95-$361.07 (-9.15%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

44.6¢

83.5¢

$3,328.29$1,548.71 (87.03%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

Yes 44.6¢

3,986.0 shares

$3,328.29$1,548.71 (87.03%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

95.8¢

96.6¢

$3,246.40$26.08 (0.81%)

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 95.8¢

3,362.4 shares

$3,246.40$26.08 (0.81%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14.1¢

23,287.5 shares

14.1¢

13.5¢

$3,143.82-$149.30 (-4.53%)

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 14.1¢

23,287.5 shares

$3,143.82-$149.30 (-4.53%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

8.5¢

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

Yes 8.5¢

26,041.0 shares

$2,213.48$3.44 (0.16%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 51¢

4,688.8 shares

51¢

46.7¢

$2,187.31-$204.66 (-8.56%)

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

No 51¢

4,688.8 shares

$2,187.31-$204.66 (-8.56%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

9¢

22.5¢

$1,989.01$1,193.41 (150%)

Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?

Yes 9¢

8,840.0 shares

$1,989.01$1,193.41 (150%)