Erasmus.

加入时间 7月 2024·159 浏览量

Prediction markets are the future, if there is one. Erasmusxyz on discord, send me your trade ideas or pictures of your cat.

$1.4M

持仓价值

$230.0K

最高赢利

709

预测

盈亏

-$25,560.48

过去 24 小时

当前

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢

694,449.2 份额

86.5¢

98.7¢

$685,074.11$84,702.66 (14.11%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢

694,449.2 份额

$685,074.11$84,702.66 (14.11%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢

248,990.0 份额

85.3¢

91.5¢

$227,825.88$15,416.22 (7.26%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢

248,990.0 份额

$227,825.88$15,416.22 (7.26%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢

176,477.6 份额

68¢

80.5¢

$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢

176,477.6 份额

$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢

172,693.9 份额

68.3¢

66.5¢

$114,841.47-$3,044.08 (-2.58%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢

172,693.9 份额

$114,841.47-$3,044.08 (-2.58%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢

49,972.9 份额

94¢

96.4¢

$48,148.84$1,174.36 (2.5%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢

49,972.9 份额

$48,148.84$1,174.36 (2.5%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢

47,143.1 份额

87.3¢

95¢

$44,762.37$3,627.99 (8.82%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢

47,143.1 份额

$44,762.37$3,627.99 (8.82%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢

29,609.1 份额

86.6¢

84.2¢

$24,930.90-$701.23 (-2.74%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢

29,609.1 份额

$24,930.90-$701.23 (-2.74%)

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢

23,655.6 份额

87.2¢

100¢

$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢

23,655.6 份额

$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢

18,524.2 份额

70.7¢

73.5¢

$13,615.26$525.97 (4.02%)

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢

18,524.2 份额

$13,615.26$525.97 (4.02%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢

47,198.4 份额

34.3¢

22.5¢

$10,619.64-$5,570.12 (-34.41%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢

47,198.4 份额

$10,619.64-$5,570.12 (-34.41%)

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢

10,670.9 份额

16¢

60.5¢

$6,455.88$4,748.54 (278.12%)

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢

10,670.9 份额

$6,455.88$4,748.54 (278.12%)

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢

10,231.9 份额

46.6¢

39.5¢

$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢

10,231.9 份额

$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢

2,564.1 份额

75.5¢

97.1¢

$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢

2,564.1 份额

$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢

2,277.3 份额

88¢

94.5¢

$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢

2,277.3 份额

$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢

20,102.8 份额

9¢

7.5¢

$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢

20,102.8 份额

$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢

4,094.4 份额

27¢

29.5¢

$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢

4,094.4 份额

$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢

1,160.7 份额

91¢

92.5¢

$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢

1,160.7 份额

$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢

738.6 份额

65.1¢

97¢

$716.47$235.71 (49.03%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢

738.6 份额

$716.47$235.71 (49.03%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

39,302.8 份额

1.6¢

0.9¢

$334.07-$294.77 (-46.87%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

39,302.8 份额

$334.07-$294.77 (-46.87%)

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢

2,501.9 份额

7.8¢

13¢

$325.24$129.18 (65.89%)

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢

2,501.9 份额

$325.24$129.18 (65.89%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢

161.9 份额

65.1¢

56¢

$90.59-$14.91 (-14.13%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢

161.9 份额

$90.59-$14.91 (-14.13%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢

1.0 份额

67.6¢

69.5¢

$0.68$0.02 (2.78%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢

1.0 份额

$0.68$0.02 (2.78%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢

0.6 份额

53.3¢

60.5¢

$0.37$0.04 (13.47%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢

0.6 份额

$0.37$0.04 (13.47%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢

0.5 份额

82.6¢

41.5¢

$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢

0.5 份额

$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢

10,000.0 份额

42¢

0¢

$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢

10,000.0 份额

$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢

43,504.3 份额

1.2¢

0¢

$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢

43,504.3 份额

$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢

1,626.0 份额

40.3¢

0¢

$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢

1,626.0 份额

$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢

5,217.5 份额

12¢

0¢

$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢

5,217.5 份额

$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢

1,650.2 份额

60¢

0¢

$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢

1,650.2 份额

$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢

100,000.0 份额

11.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢

100,000.0 份额

$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢

694,449.2 份额

86.5¢

98.7¢

$685,074.11$84,702.66 (14.11%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

No 86.5¢

694,449.2 份额

$685,074.11$84,702.66 (14.11%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢

248,990.0 份额

85.3¢

91.5¢

$227,825.88$15,416.22 (7.26%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 85.3¢

248,990.0 份额

$227,825.88$15,416.22 (7.26%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢

176,477.6 份额

68¢

80.5¢

$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 68¢

176,477.6 份额

$142,064.47$21,986.11 (18.31%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢

172,693.9 份额

68.3¢

66.5¢

$114,841.47-$3,044.08 (-2.58%)

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

No 68.3¢

172,693.9 份额

$114,841.47-$3,044.08 (-2.58%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢

49,972.9 份额

94¢

96.4¢

$48,148.84$1,174.36 (2.5%)

Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?

No 94¢

49,972.9 份额

$48,148.84$1,174.36 (2.5%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢

47,143.1 份额

87.3¢

95¢

$44,762.37$3,627.99 (8.82%)

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?

No 87.3¢

47,143.1 份额

$44,762.37$3,627.99 (8.82%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢

29,609.1 份额

86.6¢

84.2¢

$24,930.90-$701.23 (-2.74%)

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Yes 86.6¢

29,609.1 份额

$24,930.90-$701.23 (-2.74%)

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢

23,655.6 份额

87.2¢

100¢

$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

Yes 87.2¢

23,655.6 份额

$23,643.74$3,010.01 (14.59%)

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢

18,524.2 份额

70.7¢

73.5¢

$13,615.26$525.97 (4.02%)

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?

Yes 70.7¢

18,524.2 份额

$13,615.26$525.97 (4.02%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢

47,198.4 份额

34.3¢

22.5¢

$10,619.64-$5,570.12 (-34.41%)

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Yes 34.3¢

47,198.4 份额

$10,619.64-$5,570.12 (-34.41%)

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢

10,670.9 份额

16¢

60.5¢

$6,455.88$4,748.54 (278.12%)

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 16¢

10,670.9 份额

$6,455.88$4,748.54 (278.12%)

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢

10,231.9 份额

46.6¢

39.5¢

$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

No 46.6¢

10,231.9 份额

$4,041.59-$729.74 (-15.29%)

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢

2,564.1 份额

75.5¢

97.1¢

$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)

Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?

No 75.5¢

2,564.1 份额

$2,489.72$553.92 (28.61%)

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢

2,277.3 份额

88¢

94.5¢

$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)

Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?

No 88¢

2,277.3 份额

$2,152.01$148.02 (7.39%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢

20,102.8 份额

9¢

7.5¢

$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Yes 9¢

20,102.8 份额

$1,507.71-$301.54 (-16.67%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢

4,094.4 份额

27¢

29.5¢

$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Yes 27¢

4,094.4 份额

$1,207.85$102.36 (9.26%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢

1,160.7 份额

91¢

92.5¢

$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 91¢

1,160.7 份额

$1,073.68$17.71 (1.68%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢

738.6 份额

65.1¢

97¢

$716.47$235.71 (49.03%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?

No 65.1¢

738.6 份额

$716.47$235.71 (49.03%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

39,302.8 份额

1.6¢

0.9¢

$334.07-$294.77 (-46.87%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Yes 1.6¢

39,302.8 份额

$334.07-$294.77 (-46.87%)

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢

2,501.9 份额

7.8¢

13¢

$325.24$129.18 (65.89%)

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Yes 7.8¢

2,501.9 份额

$325.24$129.18 (65.89%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢

161.9 份额

65.1¢

56¢

$90.59-$14.91 (-14.13%)

Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Yes 65.1¢

161.9 份额

$90.59-$14.91 (-14.13%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢

1.0 份额

67.6¢

69.5¢

$0.68$0.02 (2.78%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 67.6¢

1.0 份额

$0.68$0.02 (2.78%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢

0.6 份额

53.3¢

60.5¢

$0.37$0.04 (13.47%)

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Yes 53.3¢

0.6 份额

$0.37$0.04 (13.47%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢

0.5 份额

82.6¢

41.5¢

$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)

Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?

Yes 82.6¢

0.5 份额

$0.20-$0.20 (-49.74%)

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢

10,000.0 份额

42¢

0¢

$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)

Andy Byron out as Astronomer CEO by next Friday?

No 42¢

10,000.0 份额

$0.00-$4,200.00 (-100%)

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢

43,504.3 份额

1.2¢

0¢

$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)

US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?

Yes 1.2¢

43,504.3 份额

$0.00-$516.05 (-100%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢

1,626.0 份额

40.3¢

0¢

$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Yes 40.3¢

1,626.0 份额

$0.00-$655.61 (-100%)

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢

5,217.5 份额

12¢

0¢

$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 12¢

5,217.5 份额

$0.00-$626.10 (-100%)

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢

1,650.2 份额

60¢

0¢

$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

No 60¢

1,650.2 份额

$0.00-$990.13 (-100%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢

100,000.0 份额

11.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Yes 11.6¢

100,000.0 份额

$0.00-$11,559.40 (-100%)