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Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

Market icon

Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,789,313 交易量

<1% chance
Polymarket

$2,789,313 交易量

On November 25, Donald Trump announced that he would "sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States". (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113546215051155542).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada is enacted. If a tariff is instituted on Mexico but not Canada, or on Canada but not Mexico, it will still qualify.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
交易量
$2,789,313
结束日期
Jan 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2024, 7:17 PM ET
On November 25, Donald Trump announced that he would "sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States". (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113546215051155542). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada is enacted. If a tariff is instituted on Mexico but not Canada, or on Canada but not Mexico, it will still qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

On November 25, Donald Trump announced that he would "sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States". (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113546215051155542).

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada is enacted. If a tariff is instituted on Mexico but not Canada, or on Canada but not Mexico, it will still qualify.

Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
交易量
$2,789,313
结束日期
Jan 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 25, 2024, 7:17 PM ET
On November 25, Donald Trump announced that he would "sign all necessary documents to charge Mexico and Canada a 25% Tariff on ALL products coming into the United States". (see: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/113546215051155542). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action enacting a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada by January 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A general tariff that includes item-specific exceptions will still qualify, as long as a policy of a general 25% or greater tariff on imports into the United States from Mexico or Canada is enacted. If a tariff is instituted on Mexico but not Canada, or on Canada but not Mexico, it will still qualify. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.

已提议结果: No

有争议

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?"是 Polymarket 上的一个预测市场,交易者根据自己对事件是否会发生的判断买卖"是"或"否"的份额。当前社区预测的概率为 0%("Yes")。例如,如果"是"的价格为 0¢,则市场集体认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率会随着交易者对新动态和信息的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?"已产生 $2.8 million 的总交易量(自Nov 26, 2024市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?"上交易,只需选择你认为答案是"是"还是"否"。每一方都有一个反映市场隐含概率的当前价格。输入你的金额并点击"交易"。如果你买入"是"的份额且结果为"是",每份支付 $1。如果结果为"否",你的"是"份额支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额以锁定利润或止损。

"Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?"的当前概率为 0%("Yes")。这意味着 Polymarket 社区目前认为该事件发生的概率为 0%。这些赔率基于实际交易实时更新,持续提供市场预期信号。

"Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。