The United States conducted targeted military strikes on Venezuela on January 3, 2026, capturing Nicolás Maduro and his wife without deploying ground troops or launching a full-scale invasion, prompting trader consensus against broader military action in near-term markets. Maduro's ouster facilitated an interim government under figures like Delcy Rodríguez, whom the US has threatened to indict over prior sanctions violations, yet both nations agreed on March 5 to reestablish diplomatic and consular relations amid discussions on oil exports and economic stabilization. No escalation signals have emerged in the past 30 days, with focus shifting to bilateral negotiations rather than military intervention; upcoming State Department visits could further de-escalate tensions.