Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching the target price by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability yes, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, amid persistent inflation pressures boosting precious metals as hedges. Spot silver trades at $31.20, up 28% YTD, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and China's stimulus measures enhancing green energy imports. Key risks include Fed rate cut slowdowns—watch the December 18 FOMC for dovish signals—and COMEX inventory builds capping upside. Upcoming CPI releases on January 15 and February 12 could sway volatility, with trader consensus pricing in 75% odds of sub-2% core inflation reinforcing bullish momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$958,556 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
18%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
$958,556 交易量
↑ 200美元
<1%
↑ $170
<1%
↑ $150
<1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $125
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
2%
↑ $100
2%
↑ 95美元
5%
↓ $65
55%
↓ 60美元
18%
↓ 50美元
4%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $25
<1%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Mar 2, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Trader sentiment on Polymarket for silver (SI) reaching the target price by March 31 reflects a 65% implied probability yes, driven primarily by surging industrial demand from solar panel production and electronics, amid persistent inflation pressures boosting precious metals as hedges. Spot silver trades at $31.20, up 28% YTD, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and China's stimulus measures enhancing green energy imports. Key risks include Fed rate cut slowdowns—watch the December 18 FOMC for dovish signals—and COMEX inventory builds capping upside. Upcoming CPI releases on January 15 and February 12 could sway volatility, with trader consensus pricing in 75% odds of sub-2% core inflation reinforcing bullish momentum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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