The US and Israel remain the primary actors in an ongoing air campaign against Iran, now over a month old since surprise strikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and energy infrastructure. Recent escalations include Iranian missile barrages prompting sirens across Israeli cities like Haifa and strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, alongside Pentagon reports of preparations for potential ground operations lasting weeks. President Trump issued fresh warnings against Tehran without ruling out troop deployments, while Egypt urged de-escalation. No other countries have directly conducted strikes, though UK bases support US operations; traders eye diplomatic talks or further retaliation before the April 30 cutoff as key market movers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$479,083 交易量
Apr 30, 2026
Saudi Arabia
26%
UAE
21%
Kuwait
7%
Bahrain
7%
Turkey
6%
Any E.U. Country
6%
Jordan
6%
Qatar
5%
France
5%
UK
4%
Oman
4%
Germany
3%
Canada
1%
$479,083 交易量
Saudi Arabia
$80,639 交易量
26%
UAE
$43,504 交易量
21%
Kuwait
$1,274 交易量
7%
Bahrain
$847 交易量
7%
Turkey
$15,600 交易量
6%
Any E.U. Country
$5,483 交易量
6%
Jordan
$1,093 交易量
6%
Qatar
$732 交易量
5%
France
$148,533 交易量
5%
UK
$104,616 交易量
4%
Oman
$360 交易量
4%
Germany
$76,403 交易量
3%
Canada
$0 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The US and Israel remain the primary actors in an ongoing air campaign against Iran, now over a month old since surprise strikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and energy infrastructure. Recent escalations include Iranian missile barrages prompting sirens across Israeli cities like Haifa and strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, alongside Pentagon reports of preparations for potential ground operations lasting weeks. President Trump issued fresh warnings against Tehran without ruling out troop deployments, while Egypt urged de-escalation. No other countries have directly conducted strikes, though UK bases support US operations; traders eye diplomatic talks or further retaliation before the April 30 cutoff as key market movers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ET
交易量
$479,083结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The US and Israel remain the primary actors in an ongoing air campaign against Iran, now over a month old since surprise strikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and energy infrastructure. Recent escalations include Iranian missile barrages prompting sirens across Israeli cities like Haifa and strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, alongside Pentagon reports of preparations for potential ground operations lasting weeks. President Trump issued fresh warnings against Tehran without ruling out troop deployments, while Egypt urged de-escalation. No other countries have directly conducted strikes, though UK bases support US operations; traders eye diplomatic talks or further retaliation before the April 30 cutoff as key market movers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Iranian soil or any official Iranian embassy or consulate between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by the listed country's military forces that impact Iranian ground territory or any official Iranian embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Iranian soil is hit by a missile launched by the listed country, this market will resolve to "Yes").
Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Iranian territory or cause damage.
Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by ground operatives of the listed country will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
交易量
$479,083结束日期
Apr 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 6:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The US and Israel remain the primary actors in an ongoing air campaign against Iran, now over a month old since surprise strikes began on February 28 targeting nuclear sites, missile facilities, and energy infrastructure. Recent escalations include Iranian missile barrages prompting sirens across Israeli cities like Haifa and strikes wounding US troops at a Saudi base, alongside Pentagon reports of preparations for potential ground operations lasting weeks. President Trump issued fresh warnings against Tehran without ruling out troop deployments, while Egypt urged de-escalation. No other countries have directly conducted strikes, though UK bases support US operations; traders eye diplomatic talks or further retaliation before the April 30 cutoff as key market movers.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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