Market icon

到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?

Market icon

到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?

OpenAI 100.0%

谷歌 <1%

Anthropic <1%

分组项标题:阿里巴巴 <1%

Polymarket

$4,404,394 交易量

OpenAI 100.0%

谷歌 <1%

Anthropic <1%

分组项标题:阿里巴巴 <1%

Polymarket

$4,404,394 交易量

Market icon

谷歌

$432,291 交易量

Market icon

Anthropic

$561,947 交易量

Market icon

OpenAI

$575,493 交易量

Market icon

分组项标题:阿里巴巴

$1,095,235 交易量

Market icon

Z.ai

$1,046,580 交易量

Market icon

xAI

$303,476 交易量

Market icon

DeepSeek

$179,090 交易量

Market icon

Moonshot

$121,743 交易量

Market icon

分组项标题:Mistral

$88,539 交易量

This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET.

If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
交易量
$4,404,394
结束日期
Dec 31, 2025
市场开放时间
Nov 7, 2025, 7:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to the company which owns the model that has the top LiveBench “coding average” score, as based off the LiveBench AI model leaderboard (https://livebench.ai/#/), on December 31, 2025, 12:00 PM ET. If two models are tied for the top LiveBench coding average score at this market's check time, resolution will be based on whichever company's name, as it is described in this market group, comes first in alphabetical order. The primary source of resolution for this market will be LiveBench’s AI leaderboard, specifically the “coding average” category, found at livebench.ai. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

已提议结果: 否

无争议

最终结果: 否

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 9 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "OpenAI" at 100%, followed by "谷歌" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?," browse the 9 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?" is "OpenAI" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "谷歌" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "到2025年底,哪家公司将拥有用于编码的最强 AI 模型?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.