Pakistan leads trader consensus at 37.5% as the site for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting following March 26 statements from Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar confirming indirect negotiations mediated by Islamabad, with reports from Axios and Reuters indicating efforts for a high-level summit there this week involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, possibly Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. "No meeting by June 30" at 24% reflects Iran's rejection of the US 15-point ceasefire plan and counterproposal amid ongoing military tensions, tempering optimism. Oman trades at 13.9% due to its established mediation history, including April 2025 talks, while Turkey and Qatar trail despite regional diplomatic overtures. Traders weigh Pakistan's neutral geography and recent mediator emergence against stalled progress and escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于巴基斯坦 39%
至6月30日前无会谈 25%
阿曼 13.2%
土耳其 8.9%
$319,394 交易量
$319,394 交易量
巴基斯坦
39%
至6月30日前无会谈
25%
阿曼
13%
土耳其
9%
卡塔尔
4%
其他
3%
瑞士
3%
埃及
3%
俄罗斯
2%
其他 - 欧洲
2%
其他 - 中东/北非
1%
沙特阿拉伯
1%
美国
<1%
阿联酋
<1%
奥地利
<1%
伊朗
<1%
意大利
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
哈萨克斯坦
<1%
巴基斯坦 39%
至6月30日前无会谈 25%
阿曼 13.2%
土耳其 8.9%
$319,394 交易量
$319,394 交易量
巴基斯坦
39%
至6月30日前无会谈
25%
阿曼
13%
土耳其
9%
卡塔尔
4%
其他
3%
瑞士
3%
埃及
3%
俄罗斯
2%
其他 - 欧洲
2%
其他 - 中东/北非
1%
沙特阿拉伯
1%
美国
<1%
阿联酋
<1%
奥地利
<1%
伊朗
<1%
意大利
<1%
伊拉克
<1%
哈萨克斯坦
<1%
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
市场开放时间: Mar 24, 2026, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”.
For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East.
If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”.
If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Pakistan leads trader consensus at 37.5% as the site for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting following March 26 statements from Pakistani Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar confirming indirect negotiations mediated by Islamabad, with reports from Axios and Reuters indicating efforts for a high-level summit there this week involving US envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner, possibly Vice President JD Vance, and Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf. "No meeting by June 30" at 24% reflects Iran's rejection of the US 15-point ceasefire plan and counterproposal amid ongoing military tensions, tempering optimism. Oman trades at 13.9% due to its established mediation history, including April 2025 talks, while Turkey and Qatar trail despite regional diplomatic overtures. Traders weigh Pakistan's neutral geography and recent mediator emergence against stalled progress and escalation risks.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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