SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 has fueled trader consensus around $X at 47% implied probability, edging out Other at 44.3%, as speculation intensifies ahead of a potential mid-2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's affinity for the "X" brand—evident in X Corp's rebranding and xAI ventures—positions it as a sleek, prestigious one-letter ticker, appealing for branding synergy with Starlink's satellite constellation and Starship reusability milestones. Yet Other remains competitive due to exchange approval uncertainties, ticker availability checks, and preferences for descriptive symbols like SPAX amid no official disclosure. Traders eye the upcoming public S-1 filing for resolution-defining details, with Musk statements as key catalysts in this razor-thin contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$X 47%
其他 44.2%
$SPAX 4.5%
分组项标题：$SPACE 1.3%
$4,223,171 交易量
$4,223,171 交易量
2027-12-31
$X
47%
其他
44%
$SPAX
5%
分组项标题：$SPACE
1%
分组项标题：$SEX
1%
$STAR
1%
分组项标题：$SX
1%
分组项标题：$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
$X 47%
其他 44.2%
$SPAX 4.5%
分组项标题：$SPACE 1.3%
$4,223,171 交易量
$4,223,171 交易量
2027-12-31
$X
$425,324 交易量
47%
其他
$113,061 交易量
44%
$SPAX
$280,833 交易量
5%
分组项标题：$SPACE
$462,630 交易量
1%
分组项标题：$SEX
$1,242,473 交易量
1%
$STAR
$746,266 交易量
1%
分组项标题：$SX
$263,916 交易量
1%
分组项标题：$MARS
$193,877 交易量
<1%
$SPC
$494,792 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 has fueled trader consensus around $X at 47% implied probability, edging out Other at 44.3%, as speculation intensifies ahead of a potential mid-2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's affinity for the "X" brand—evident in X Corp's rebranding and xAI ventures—positions it as a sleek, prestigious one-letter ticker, appealing for branding synergy with Starlink's satellite constellation and Starship reusability milestones. Yet Other remains competitive due to exchange approval uncertainties, ticker availability checks, and preferences for descriptive symbols like SPAX amid no official disclosure. Traders eye the upcoming public S-1 filing for resolution-defining details, with Musk statements as key catalysts in this razor-thin contest.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
交易量
$4,223,171结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 has fueled trader consensus around $X at 47% implied probability, edging out Other at 44.3%, as speculation intensifies ahead of a potential mid-2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's affinity for the "X" brand—evident in X Corp's rebranding and xAI ventures—positions it as a sleek, prestigious one-letter ticker, appealing for branding synergy with Starlink's satellite constellation and Starship reusability milestones. Yet Other remains competitive due to exchange approval uncertainties, ticker availability checks, and preferences for descriptive symbols like SPAX amid no official disclosure. Traders eye the upcoming public S-1 filing for resolution-defining details, with Musk statements as key catalysts in this razor-thin contest.
This market will resolve according to the public ticker symbol used by SpaceX in an IPO (Initial Public Offering) by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$4,223,171结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential SEC IPO filing on April 1 has fueled trader consensus around $X at 47% implied probability, edging out Other at 44.3%, as speculation intensifies ahead of a potential mid-2026 listing targeting $1.75 trillion valuation. Elon Musk's affinity for the "X" brand—evident in X Corp's rebranding and xAI ventures—positions it as a sleek, prestigious one-letter ticker, appealing for branding synergy with Starlink's satellite constellation and Starship reusability milestones. Yet Other remains competitive due to exchange approval uncertainties, ticker availability checks, and preferences for descriptive symbols like SPAX amid no official disclosure. Traders eye the upcoming public S-1 filing for resolution-defining details, with Musk statements as key catalysts in this razor-thin contest.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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