GTA VI之前会发生什么？
$16,511,664 交易量
Jul 31, 2026
德雷克发布《Iceman》
$40,924 交易量
89%
德雷克发布《Iceman》
$40,924 交易量
89%
俄乌停火
$1,320,446 交易量
60%
俄乌停火
$1,320,446 交易量
60%
Playboi Carti 的新专辑
$670,811 交易量
60%
Playboi Carti 的新专辑
$670,811 交易量
60%
GPT-6 已发布
$262,537 交易量
60%
GPT-6 已发布
$262,537 交易量
60%
蕾哈娜的新专辑
$635,613 交易量
58%
蕾哈娜的新专辑
$635,613 交易量
58%
特朗普退出总统职位
$481,296 交易量
53%
特朗普退出总统职位
$481,296 交易量
53%
中国入侵台湾
$1,222,617 交易量
52%
中国入侵台湾
$1,222,617 交易量
52%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,946,455 交易量
49%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,946,455 交易量
49%
耶稣基督归来
$8,930,965 交易量
48%
耶稣基督归来
$8,930,965 交易量
48%
规则
This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between Russia and Ukraine before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
Only ceasefires which constitute a general pause in the conflict will qualify. Ceasefires which only apply to energy infrastructure, the Black Sea, or other similar agreements will not qualify.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
The resolution for a ceasefire will be based on official announcements from both Russia and Ukraine; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine has been reached will suffice.
创建于： May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ET
交易量
$16,511,664结束日期
Jul 31, 2026创建于
May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...GTA VI之前会发生什么？
$16,511,664 交易量
德雷克发布《Iceman》
$40,924 交易量
89%
俄乌停火
$1,320,446 交易量
60%
Playboi Carti 的新专辑
$670,811 交易量
60%
GPT-6 已发布
$262,537 交易量
60%
蕾哈娜的新专辑
$635,613 交易量
58%
特朗普退出总统职位
$481,296 交易量
53%
中国入侵台湾
$1,222,617 交易量
52%
Bitcoin hits $1m
$2,946,455 交易量
49%
耶稣基督归来
$8,930,965 交易量
48%
关于
交易量
$16,511,664结束日期
Jul 31, 2026创建于
May 2, 2025, 11:47 AM ETResolver
0x6A9D22261...注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。
注意外部链接。