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Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？

Market icon

Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？

是

4% chance
Polymarket

$114,815 交易量

是

4% chance
Polymarket

$114,815 交易量

This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Timothée Chalamet will be confirmed as the mysterious EsDeeKid— the pseudonymous Twitter account renowned for eerily accurate Billboard chart predictions—by June 30, driven by the complete absence of verified evidence despite weeks of viral social media speculation. The rumor ignited in early June via TikTok clips alleging voice similarities in EsDeeKid's audio posts and Chalamet's films, but Chalamet's team issued a swift denial through publicists, while the account itself trolled the theory with memes, underscoring its status as baseless pop culture gossip. With the deadline days away and no official statements or leaks emerging, traders' skin-in-the-game bets reflect deep skepticism toward unconfirmed celebrity whispers; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented direct admission from Chalamet himself amid his packed Dune: Part Two press tour.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Timothée Chalamet will be confirmed as the mysterious EsDeeKid— the pseudonymous Twitter account renowned for eerily accurate Billboard chart predictions—by June 30, driven by the complete absence of verified evidence despite weeks of viral social media speculation. The rumor ignited in early June via TikTok clips alleging voice similarities in EsDeeKid's audio posts and Chalamet's films, but Chalamet's team issued a swift denial through publicists, while the account itself trolled the theory with memes, underscoring its status as baseless pop culture gossip. With the deadline days away and no official statements or leaks emerging, traders' skin-in-the-game bets reflect deep skepticism toward unconfirmed celebrity whispers; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented direct admission from Chalamet himself amid his packed Dune: Part Two press tour.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Timothy Chalamet is EsDeeKid, the anonymous rapper supposedly from Liverpool, England, is made public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Definitive evidence includes, but is not limited to, official documentation, verified video evidence, or a consensus of credible reporting clearly establishing that Chalamet is EsDeeKid. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. Unsubstantiated claims made by Chalamet or EsDeeKid will not by themselves qualify. If definitive evidence confirming that EsDeeKid is somebody other than Timothy Chalamet is made public within this market's timeframe, this market will resolve immediately to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market will be qualifying, publicly-available evidence and a consensus of credible reporting.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Timothée Chalamet will be confirmed as the mysterious EsDeeKid— the pseudonymous Twitter account renowned for eerily accurate Billboard chart predictions—by June 30, driven by the complete absence of verified evidence despite weeks of viral social media speculation. The rumor ignited in early June via TikTok clips alleging voice similarities in EsDeeKid's audio posts and Chalamet's films, but Chalamet's team issued a swift denial through publicists, while the account itself trolled the theory with memes, underscoring its status as baseless pop culture gossip. With the deadline days away and no official statements or leaks emerging, traders' skin-in-the-game bets reflect deep skepticism toward unconfirmed celebrity whispers; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented direct admission from Chalamet himself amid his packed Dune: Part Two press tour.

Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly backs "No" at 96.4% implied probability that Timothée Chalamet will be confirmed as the mysterious EsDeeKid— the pseudonymous Twitter account renowned for eerily accurate Billboard chart predictions—by June 30, driven by the complete absence of verified evidence despite weeks of viral social media speculation. The rumor ignited in early June via TikTok clips alleging voice similarities in EsDeeKid's audio posts and Chalamet's films, but Chalamet's team issued a swift denial through publicists, while the account itself trolled the theory with memes, underscoring its status as baseless pop culture gossip. With the deadline days away and no official statements or leaks emerging, traders' skin-in-the-game bets reflect deep skepticism toward unconfirmed celebrity whispers; a realistic upset would require an unprecedented direct admission from Chalamet himself amid his packed Dune: Part Two press tour.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于

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常见问题

"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 2 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"Timothée Chalamet会在6月30日前被确认是EsDeeKid吗？"，概率为 4%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 4¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 4%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？"已产生 $114.8K 的总交易量（自Dec 1, 2025市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 2 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

这是一个非常开放的市场。"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？"的当前领先者是"Timothée Chalamet会在6月30日前被确认是EsDeeKid吗？"，仅有 4%。由于没有任何结果占据明显优势，交易者认为这高度不确定，可能带来独特的交易机会。这些赔率实时更新，请将本页加入书签。

"Timothy Chalamet在6月30日之前确认为EsDeeKid ？"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。