Silver spot prices, currently hovering near $29.50/oz after a 17% YTD gain, drive Polymarket trader consensus on whether SI futures will breach the $30 threshold by June 30, with implied probabilities around 55% reflecting cautious optimism. Gold's parallel rally—up 13% amid Fed rate cut expectations post-June FOMC—spills over via shared investor positioning, amplified by surging industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid China stimulus. Easing US inflation (May CPI at 3.3%) bolsters precious metals, but dollar strength caps upside. Key catalyst: June 28 PCE data; softer-than-expected could trigger breakout above $30 resistance, per COMEX open interest showing short-covering potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$3,532,705 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
14%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
79%
低于60美元
56%
↓ $55
56%
↓ $45
29%
↓ $35
7%
$3,532,705 交易量
↑ 250美元
3%
↑ $230
4%
↑ $210
4%
↑ $200
4%
↑ $170
6%
↑ $150
9%
↑ $130
14%
↑ $120
15%
↓ $65
79%
低于60美元
56%
↓ $55
56%
↓ $45
29%
↓ $35
7%
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
市场开放时间: Dec 26, 2025, 6:28 PM ET
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0x65070BE91...Silver spot prices, currently hovering near $29.50/oz after a 17% YTD gain, drive Polymarket trader consensus on whether SI futures will breach the $30 threshold by June 30, with implied probabilities around 55% reflecting cautious optimism. Gold's parallel rally—up 13% amid Fed rate cut expectations post-June FOMC—spills over via shared investor positioning, amplified by surging industrial demand from solar panels and electronics amid China stimulus. Easing US inflation (May CPI at 3.3%) bolsters precious metals, but dollar strength caps upside. Key catalyst: June 28 PCE data; softer-than-expected could trigger breakout above $30 resistance, per COMEX open interest showing short-covering potential.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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