Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between $50-54 million (44%) and $46-50 million (43.5%) for Project Hail Mary's second-weekend domestic box office, reflecting Friday's $12.9 million haul—down 61% from opening day but signaling a robust 42% overall drop akin to Dune: Part Two's impressive hold. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, dominant premium large format and IMAX screens, and minimal competition from newcomers like They Will Kill You ($5-6 million projected). After a record-breaking $80.5 million debut and $109.8 million first week, projections cluster at $46-48 million per Deadline updates, with walk-up traffic and spring break boosts as key swing factors ahead of Sunday finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于“Project Hail Mary”第二周末票房
“Project Hail Mary”第二周末票房
4600万-5000万 42%
5000万-5400万 33%
>5400万 8.9%
4200万-4600万美元 2.8%
$15,027 交易量
$15,027 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
低于4200万
1%
4200万-4600万美元
3%
4600万-5000万
42%
5000万-5400万
48%
>5400万
9%
4600万-5000万 42%
5000万-5400万 33%
>5400万 8.9%
4200万-4600万美元 2.8%
$15,027 交易量
$15,027 交易量
Mar 30, 2026
低于4200万
$1,312 交易量
1%
4200万-4600万美元
$5,304 交易量
3%
4600万-5000万
$4,848 交易量
42%
5000万-5400万
$1,504 交易量
48%
>5400万
$2,059 交易量
9%
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between $50-54 million (44%) and $46-50 million (43.5%) for Project Hail Mary's second-weekend domestic box office, reflecting Friday's $12.9 million haul—down 61% from opening day but signaling a robust 42% overall drop akin to Dune: Part Two's impressive hold. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, dominant premium large format and IMAX screens, and minimal competition from newcomers like They Will Kill You ($5-6 million projected). After a record-breaking $80.5 million debut and $109.8 million first week, projections cluster at $46-48 million per Deadline updates, with walk-up traffic and spring break boosts as key swing factors ahead of Sunday finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间： Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
交易量
$15,027结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between $50-54 million (44%) and $46-50 million (43.5%) for Project Hail Mary's second-weekend domestic box office, reflecting Friday's $12.9 million haul—down 61% from opening day but signaling a robust 42% overall drop akin to Dune: Part Two's impressive hold. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, dominant premium large format and IMAX screens, and minimal competition from newcomers like They Will Kill You ($5-6 million projected). After a record-breaking $80.5 million debut and $109.8 million first week, projections cluster at $46-48 million per Deadline updates, with walk-up traffic and spring break boosts as key swing factors ahead of Sunday finals.
This market will resolve according to how much "Project Hail Mary" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its second weekend. The "Daily" figures found on the “Domestic Daily” tab on this movie's Box Office Mojo (https://www.boxofficemojo.com/title/tt28650488/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (March 27 - March 29) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the BoxOfficeMojo figures provided under Domestic Daily performance for the 3-day weekend, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by April 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
交易量
$15,027结束日期
Mar 30, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 23, 2026, 5:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.the-numbers.com/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between $50-54 million (44%) and $46-50 million (43.5%) for Project Hail Mary's second-weekend domestic box office, reflecting Friday's $12.9 million haul—down 61% from opening day but signaling a robust 42% overall drop akin to Dune: Part Two's impressive hold. The Ryan Gosling-led sci-fi adaptation, directed by Phil Lord and Christopher Miller, benefits from stellar word-of-mouth, dominant premium large format and IMAX screens, and minimal competition from newcomers like They Will Kill You ($5-6 million projected). After a record-breaking $80.5 million debut and $109.8 million first week, projections cluster at $46-48 million per Deadline updates, with walk-up traffic and spring break boosts as key swing factors ahead of Sunday finals.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题