OpenAI's record $110 billion funding round in February 2026, valuing the firm at $730 billion pre-money and followed by an extra $10 billion infusion last week to reach $120 billion total, has anchored pre-IPO valuations around $800–850 billion, fueling Polymarket trader consensus with 73% implied probability for a closing market cap above $800 billion upon listing. This reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on $20–25 billion annualized revenue from enterprise AI tools amid competitive positioning against Anthropic, despite ongoing cash burn and profitability concerns projected beyond 2030. No S-1 filing yet, but Q4 2026 IPO targeting—bolstered by new investor relations hires and private equity distribution talks—looms as the key catalyst, with SEC review and roadshow dynamics poised to sway final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$1,441,384 交易量
$1,441,384 交易量
2027-12-31
8000亿美元
78%
1万亿美元
56%
1.2万亿美元
56%
1.4万亿美元
27%
1.6万亿美元
22%
$1,441,384 交易量
$1,441,384 交易量
2027-12-31
8000亿美元
$78,886 交易量
78%
1万亿美元
$1,035,620 交易量
56%
1.2万亿美元
$235,782 交易量
56%
1.4万亿美元
$50,756 交易量
27%
1.6万亿美元
$40,341 交易量
22%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's record $110 billion funding round in February 2026, valuing the firm at $730 billion pre-money and followed by an extra $10 billion infusion last week to reach $120 billion total, has anchored pre-IPO valuations around $800–850 billion, fueling Polymarket trader consensus with 73% implied probability for a closing market cap above $800 billion upon listing. This reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on $20–25 billion annualized revenue from enterprise AI tools amid competitive positioning against Anthropic, despite ongoing cash burn and profitability concerns projected beyond 2030. No S-1 filing yet, but Q4 2026 IPO targeting—bolstered by new investor relations hires and private equity distribution talks—looms as the key catalyst, with SEC review and roadshow dynamics poised to sway final pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
市场开放时间： Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
交易量
$1,441,384结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.OpenAI's record $110 billion funding round in February 2026, valuing the firm at $730 billion pre-money and followed by an extra $10 billion infusion last week to reach $120 billion total, has anchored pre-IPO valuations around $800–850 billion, fueling Polymarket trader consensus with 73% implied probability for a closing market cap above $800 billion upon listing. This reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on $20–25 billion annualized revenue from enterprise AI tools amid competitive positioning against Anthropic, despite ongoing cash burn and profitability concerns projected beyond 2030. No S-1 filing yet, but Q4 2026 IPO targeting—bolstered by new investor relations hires and private equity distribution talks—looms as the key catalyst, with SEC review and roadshow dynamics poised to sway final pricing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for OpenAI's market capitalization on its first trading day is above the listed value. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI's first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.
交易量
$1,441,384结束日期
2027-12-31市场开放时间
Jan 30, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's record $110 billion funding round in February 2026, valuing the firm at $730 billion pre-money and followed by an extra $10 billion infusion last week to reach $120 billion total, has anchored pre-IPO valuations around $800–850 billion, fueling Polymarket trader consensus with 73% implied probability for a closing market cap above $800 billion upon listing. This reflects aggregated skin-in-the-game bets on $20–25 billion annualized revenue from enterprise AI tools amid competitive positioning against Anthropic, despite ongoing cash burn and profitability concerns projected beyond 2030. No S-1 filing yet, but Q4 2026 IPO targeting—bolstered by new investor relations hires and private equity distribution talks—looms as the key catalyst, with SEC review and roadshow dynamics poised to sway final pricing.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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