Olivia's commanding 86.3% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 births reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings, marking six straight years at #1 through 2023 data released in May 2024. Trader consensus hinges on the name's cultural staying power, fueled by consistent parental preferences amid stable trends, with no major challengers emerging from recent streaming data, celebrity influences, or social media buzz. Emma holds a distant second at 7.4% based on its perennial runner-up status, while Amelia and others trail due to slower climbs. Absent viral shifts or demographic changes, markets anticipate continuity when SSA unveils 2025 rankings in late 2026, though surprise surges from pop culture could alter trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于2025年最受欢迎的女孩名字
2025年最受欢迎的女孩名字
奥莉维亚 85.9%
Emma 7.4%
阿米莉亚 4.2%
伊莎贝拉 2.6%
$299,230 交易量
$299,230 交易量
奥莉维亚
86%
Emma
7%
阿米莉亚
4%
伊莎贝拉
3%
Mia
2%
夏洛特
1%
Evelyn
1%
索菲娅
1%
索菲亚
1%
Ava
<1%
奥莉维亚 85.9%
Emma 7.4%
阿米莉亚 4.2%
伊莎贝拉 2.6%
$299,230 交易量
$299,230 交易量
奥莉维亚
86%
Emma
7%
阿米莉亚
4%
伊莎贝拉
3%
Mia
2%
夏洛特
1%
Evelyn
1%
索菲娅
1%
索菲亚
1%
Ava
<1%
The authoritative source is the SSA’s “Popular Names by Birth Year” tool. To view the relevant "Female name" list, set the Birth Year to 2025.
This market may resolve as soon as the SSA releases its 2025 name data for the specified year. If none of the listed options is ranked #1 or if the SSA does not release the 2025 rankings by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
市场开放时间: Oct 27, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Olivia's commanding 86.3% implied probability as the most popular girl name for 2025 births reflects its unchallenged dominance in Social Security Administration (SSA) rankings, marking six straight years at #1 through 2023 data released in May 2024. Trader consensus hinges on the name's cultural staying power, fueled by consistent parental preferences amid stable trends, with no major challengers emerging from recent streaming data, celebrity influences, or social media buzz. Emma holds a distant second at 7.4% based on its perennial runner-up status, while Amelia and others trail due to slower climbs. Absent viral shifts or demographic changes, markets anticipate continuity when SSA unveils 2025 rankings in late 2026, though surprise surges from pop culture could alter trajectories.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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