SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 catapults it to trader consensus as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, targeting a June listing at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially the biggest ever—bolstered by February's all-stock merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion. Integrating xAI's artificial intelligence for orbital computing synergizes with SpaceX's surging Starlink revenues and Starship milestones, dwarfing OpenAI and Anthropic's unfiled plans despite their AI prowess. Recent hikes to over $2 trillion target valuation and 30% retail allocation signal robust skin-in-the-game optimism, though SEC review timelines and execution risks leave slim windows for rivals to challenge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.3%
Anthropic 4.3%
Discord <1%
$1,641,224 交易量
$1,641,224 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Discord
1%
Kraken
1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
字节跳动
<1%
Waymo
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
Revolut
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.3%
Anthropic 4.3%
Discord <1%
$1,641,224 交易量
$1,641,224 交易量
2026-12-31
SpaceX
$183,273 交易量
90%
OpenAI
$297,740 交易量
4%
Anthropic
$344,020 交易量
4%
Discord
$68,630 交易量
1%
Kraken
$375,390 交易量
1%
Stripe
$39,133 交易量
<1%
Databricks
$68,680 交易量
<1%
Perplexity AI
$54,000 交易量
<1%
字节跳动
$85,053 交易量
<1%
Waymo
$45,674 交易量
<1%
SHEIN
$53,454 交易量
<1%
Revolut
$26,178 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 catapults it to trader consensus as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, targeting a June listing at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially the biggest ever—bolstered by February's all-stock merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion. Integrating xAI's artificial intelligence for orbital computing synergizes with SpaceX's surging Starlink revenues and Starship milestones, dwarfing OpenAI and Anthropic's unfiled plans despite their AI prowess. Recent hikes to over $2 trillion target valuation and 30% retail allocation signal robust skin-in-the-game optimism, though SEC review timelines and execution risks leave slim windows for rivals to challenge.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
交易量
$1,641,224结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 catapults it to trader consensus as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, targeting a June listing at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially the biggest ever—bolstered by February's all-stock merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion. Integrating xAI's artificial intelligence for orbital computing synergizes with SpaceX's surging Starlink revenues and Starship milestones, dwarfing OpenAI and Anthropic's unfiled plans despite their AI prowess. Recent hikes to over $2 trillion target valuation and 30% retail allocation signal robust skin-in-the-game optimism, though SEC review timelines and execution risks leave slim windows for rivals to challenge.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$1,641,224结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential S-1 filing with the SEC on April 1 catapults it to trader consensus as the largest 2026 IPO by market cap, targeting a June listing at $1.75 trillion-plus valuation—potentially the biggest ever—bolstered by February's all-stock merger with xAI at a combined $1.25 trillion. Integrating xAI's artificial intelligence for orbital computing synergizes with SpaceX's surging Starlink revenues and Starship milestones, dwarfing OpenAI and Anthropic's unfiled plans despite their AI prowess. Recent hikes to over $2 trillion target valuation and 30% retail allocation signal robust skin-in-the-game optimism, though SEC review timelines and execution risks leave slim windows for rivals to challenge.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题