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2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?

Market icon

2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?

<$1000亿美元 100.0%

1000亿美元–2000亿美元 <1%

$200–500b <1%

$5000亿美元–1万亿美元 <1%

Polymarket

$9,343,862 交易量

<$1000亿美元 100.0%

1000亿美元–2000亿美元 <1%

$200–500b <1%

$5000亿美元–1万亿美元 <1%

Polymarket

$9,343,862 交易量

<$1000亿美元

$2,306,902 交易量

1000亿美元–2000亿美元

$1,736,957 交易量

$200–500b

$1,116,195 交易量

$5000亿美元–1万亿美元

$2,670,721 交易量

$1–2万亿美元

$812,350 交易量

2万亿美元+

$700,737 交易量

The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf).

This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/)

If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.
交易量
$9,343,862
结束日期
Feb 28, 2026
市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2025, 6:26 PM ET
The U.S. government collected $82.2b in customs duties in FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/files/reports-statements/financial-report/2024/notes-to-the-financial-statements19.pdf). This market will resolve according to the value of customs duties collected in FY 2025 according to the Financial Report of the United States Government published by the Treasury Department for FY 2025 (See: https://www.fiscal.treasury.gov/reports-statements/financial-report/) If the Treasury Department does not publish relevant data for FY 2025 by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source will be the Treasury Department.

已提议结果: 是

无争议

最终结果: 是

警惕外部链接哦。

Frequently Asked Questions

"2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<$1000亿美元" at 100%, followed by "1000亿美元–2000亿美元" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?" has generated $9.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 15, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?" is "<$1000亿美元" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1000亿美元–2000亿美元" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2025年,美国将从关税中获得多少收入?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.