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How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

Market icon

How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 交易量

20-25k 100.0%

<15k <1%

15-20k <1%

25-30k <1%

Polymarket

$347,366 交易量

<15k

$10,200 交易量

No

15-20k

$130,627 交易量

No

20-25k

$53,527 交易量

Yes

25-30k

$52,275 交易量

No

30-35k

$31,688 交易量

No

35-40k

$19,084 交易量

No

40k+

$49,965 交易量

No

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”

The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.
交易量
$347,366
结束日期
Jan 10, 2025
市场开放时间
Jan 8, 2025, 3:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

已提议结果: Yes

无争议

最终结果: Yes

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns less than 15,000 acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 15,000 (inclusive) and 20,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 20,000 (inclusive) and 25,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 25,000 (inclusive) and 30,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 30,000 (inclusive) and 35,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns between 35,000 (inclusive) and 40,000 (exclusive) acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Palisades fire in California burns 40,000 or more acres by January 10, 2025, 11:59 PM PT (Pacific Time). Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is official updates from https://www.fire.ca.gov/. If the website for the California Department of Forestry and Fire Protection becomes unavailable, another credible source will be used.

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 7 个可能结果的预测市场,交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"20-25k",概率为 100%,其次是"<15k",概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如,价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前,"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?"已产生 $347.4K 的总交易量(自Jan 8, 2025市场上线以来)。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与,并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?"上交易,浏览本页上列出的 7 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓,选择你认为最可能的结果,选择"是"支持或"否"反对,输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确,你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确,支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?"的当前领先者是"20-25k",概率为 100%,意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"<15k",概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"How many acres will Palisades wildfire burn by Friday?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则,因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。