Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain peak in 2026 year-over-year CPI above 3%, driven by escalating geopolitical risks elevating oil prices amid Middle East tensions and anticipated tariff passthroughs from elevated U.S. import duties averaging 12%. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% headline and 2.5% core year-over-year, matching January levels, with shelter and energy contributing modestly. The FOMC's March 18 projections raised median total PCE inflation to 2.7% for 2026, up from 2.4%, signaling modest upside amid 2.4% GDP growth and 4.4% unemployment. Key catalysts include April 10's March CPI release and May FOMC meeting, where oil shocks could push headline measures toward 4% per OECD warnings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于$348,655 交易量
2026-12-31
超过3%
98%
高于3.5%
94%
高于4%
61%
高于5%
25%
高于6%
14%
高于8%
9%
超过10%
8%
$348,655 交易量
超过3%
$215,512 交易量
98%
高于3.5%
$32,432 交易量
94%
高于4%
$57,955 交易量
61%
高于5%
$12,488 交易量
25%
高于6%
$9,602 交易量
14%
高于8%
$14,742 交易量
9%
超过10%
$5,924 交易量
8%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain peak in 2026 year-over-year CPI above 3%, driven by escalating geopolitical risks elevating oil prices amid Middle East tensions and anticipated tariff passthroughs from elevated U.S. import duties averaging 12%. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% headline and 2.5% core year-over-year, matching January levels, with shelter and energy contributing modestly. The FOMC's March 18 projections raised median total PCE inflation to 2.7% for 2026, up from 2.4%, signaling modest upside amid 2.4% GDP growth and 4.4% unemployment. Key catalysts include April 10's March CPI release and May FOMC meeting, where oil shocks could push headline measures toward 4% per OECD warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
市场开放时间： Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ET
交易量
$348,655结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain peak in 2026 year-over-year CPI above 3%, driven by escalating geopolitical risks elevating oil prices amid Middle East tensions and anticipated tariff passthroughs from elevated U.S. import duties averaging 12%. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% headline and 2.5% core year-over-year, matching January levels, with shelter and energy contributing modestly. The FOMC's March 18 projections raised median total PCE inflation to 2.7% for 2026, up from 2.4%, signaling modest upside amid 2.4% GDP growth and 4.4% unemployment. Key catalysts include April 10's March CPI release and May FOMC meeting, where oil shocks could push headline measures toward 4% per OECD warnings.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by greater than the listed percent over the 12 month period ending with any month in 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reports. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index reports released for each month of 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm). Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the December 2026 report is issued. Once the December 2026 report is issued, any revisions to previously released CPI figures will not be counted toward this market's resolution. If the CPI report for December 2026 is not issued by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on CPI figures which have already been made available by the BLS.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
交易量
$348,655结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
Nov 13, 2025, 4:31 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a near-certain peak in 2026 year-over-year CPI above 3%, driven by escalating geopolitical risks elevating oil prices amid Middle East tensions and anticipated tariff passthroughs from elevated U.S. import duties averaging 12%. February 2026 CPI held steady at 2.4% headline and 2.5% core year-over-year, matching January levels, with shelter and energy contributing modestly. The FOMC's March 18 projections raised median total PCE inflation to 2.7% for 2026, up from 2.4%, signaling modest upside amid 2.4% GDP growth and 4.4% unemployment. Key catalysts include April 10's March CPI release and May FOMC meeting, where oil shocks could push headline measures toward 4% per OECD warnings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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