Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 24°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) intraday updates and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligned with this outcome, showing afternoon readings topping out amid light southerly winds and low humidity, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon radiational heating spike to 25°C+ if prolonged sunshine persists, though evening cooling and observational closure make revisions unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected shortly after midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 1?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$85,883 交易量
$85,883 交易量
2026-04-01
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$85,883 交易量
$85,883 交易量
2026-04-01
18°C or below
$11,485 交易量
No
19°C
$7,303 交易量
No
20°C
$6,254 交易量
No
21°C
$12,036 交易量
No
22°C
$7,294 交易量
No
23°C
$7,669 交易量
No
24°C
$11,517 交易量
Yes
25°C
$7,416 交易量
No
26°C
$6,455 交易量
No
27°C
$4,654 交易量
No
28°C or higher
$3,800 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 24°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) intraday updates and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligned with this outcome, showing afternoon readings topping out amid light southerly winds and low humidity, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon radiational heating spike to 25°C+ if prolonged sunshine persists, though evening cooling and observational closure make revisions unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected shortly after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
交易量
$85,883结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 24°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) intraday updates and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligned with this outcome, showing afternoon readings topping out amid light southerly winds and low humidity, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon radiational heating spike to 25°C+ if prolonged sunshine persists, though evening cooling and observational closure make revisions unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected shortly after midnight UTC.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$85,883结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:25 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 24°C in Wuhan on April 1, driven by official observations from Wuhan Tianhe International Airport (ZHHH), the market's resolution source, which recorded a midday peak of 24°C under clear skies and a stabilizing high-pressure ridge. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) intraday updates and model consensus from ECMWF and GFS aligned with this outcome, showing afternoon readings topping out amid light southerly winds and low humidity, exceeding early-April climatological averages of 20–22°C. Scenarios challenging this include a rare late-afternoon radiational heating spike to 25°C+ if prolonged sunshine persists, though evening cooling and observational closure make revisions unlikely; final CMA daily summary expected shortly after midnight UTC.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题