Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月1日多伦多气温最高？
4月1日多伦多气温最高？
10°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 交易量
$399,779 交易量
2026-04-01
4°C或以下
否
5°C
否
6°C
否
7°C
否
8°C
否
9°C
否
10°C
是
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C或更高
否
10°C 100.0%
4°C或以下 <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$399,779 交易量
$399,779 交易量
2026-04-01
4°C或以下
$15,715 交易量
否
5°C
$17,131 交易量
否
6°C
$17,590 交易量
否
7°C
$52,111 交易量
否
8°C
$150,114 交易量
否
9°C
$36,873 交易量
否
10°C
$42,542 交易量
是
11°C
$14,463 交易量
否
12°C
$14,324 交易量
否
13°C
$13,323 交易量
否
14°C或更高
$25,594 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET
交易量
$399,779结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$399,779结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 1:53 PM ET已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Trader consensus on Polymarket has locked in a 100% implied probability for a highest temperature of exactly 10°C at Toronto Pearson International Airport on April 1, backed by Environment Canada's official hourly observations showing that precise maximum amid persistent cloud cover and northerly winds gusting to 20 km/h, which capped daytime heating after an overnight start near 9°C. This aligns with pre-event forecasts from the Canadian Meteorological Centre's models, which projected highs near 10°C under a cool air mass influenced by a lingering high-pressure ridge over the Great Lakes region—consistent with early April climatology where average highs hover around 11°C but variability from synoptic patterns often yields such outcomes. With data now verified from the airport's automated sensors, no realistic scenarios challenge this positioning barring rare post hoc revisions from quality control audits.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题