Traders on Polymarket price a 38% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on March 29, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of fair weather with a daytime high near 32°C amid light winds and low rain chances. This positioning stems from recent observations—highs of 33°C on March 27 and 32°C on March 28—during the hot, humid inter-monsoon period, when equatorial climatology typically yields afternoon peaks of 31–33°C influenced by urban heat island effects and sea breezes. Model consensus shows minimal intensification risk, though isolated thundershowers could cap the maximum lower; NEA's evening update will refine this outlook as the date nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于新加坡3月29日的最高温度?
新加坡3月29日的最高温度?
32°C 39%
33°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
16%
32°C
39%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C或更高
4%
32°C 39%
33°C 27%
31°C 16%
34°C 12%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C
6%
29°C
6%
30°C
10%
31°C
16%
32°C
39%
33°C
27%
34°C
12%
35°C或更高
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Singapore Changi Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 25, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders on Polymarket price a 38% implied probability for Singapore's highest temperature reaching exactly 32°C on March 29, reflecting the National Environment Agency's (NEA) latest forecast of fair weather with a daytime high near 32°C amid light winds and low rain chances. This positioning stems from recent observations—highs of 33°C on March 27 and 32°C on March 28—during the hot, humid inter-monsoon period, when equatorial climatology typically yields afternoon peaks of 31–33°C influenced by urban heat island effects and sea breezes. Model consensus shows minimal intensification risk, though isolated thundershowers could cap the maximum lower; NEA's evening update will refine this outlook as the date nears resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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