Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a San Francisco high temperature of 70-71°F on March 30, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the official San Francisco International Airport station (KSFO), where the maximum reached 71°F at 3:56 PM amid cloudy skies, southwest winds at 10 mph, and 39% humidity. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service records via Weather Underground, capping a volatile March featuring record-shattering heat—downtown SF hit 90°F on March 20 amid a rare heat dome—but late-month low pressure and persistent marine layer suppressed intensification, returning conditions toward climatological averages of 62-65°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from equipment anomalies, though market rules disregard such changes once verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on March 30?
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$70,176 交易量
$70,176 交易量
2026-03-30
57°F or below
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
Yes
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76°F or higher
No
70-71°F 100.0%
57°F or below <1%
58-59°F <1%
60-61°F <1%
$70,176 交易量
$70,176 交易量
2026-03-30
57°F or below
$1,844 交易量
No
58-59°F
$1,345 交易量
No
60-61°F
$1,584 交易量
No
62-63°F
$1,241 交易量
No
64-65°F
$2,479 交易量
No
66-67°F
$6,334 交易量
No
68-69°F
$6,866 交易量
No
70-71°F
$17,348 交易量
Yes
72-73°F
$8,789 交易量
No
74-75°F
$8,286 交易量
No
76°F or higher
$14,060 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a San Francisco high temperature of 70-71°F on March 30, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the official San Francisco International Airport station (KSFO), where the maximum reached 71°F at 3:56 PM amid cloudy skies, southwest winds at 10 mph, and 39% humidity. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service records via Weather Underground, capping a volatile March featuring record-shattering heat—downtown SF hit 90°F on March 20 amid a rare heat dome—but late-month low pressure and persistent marine layer suppressed intensification, returning conditions toward climatological averages of 62-65°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from equipment anomalies, though market rules disregard such changes once verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET
交易量
$70,176结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a San Francisco high temperature of 70-71°F on March 30, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the official San Francisco International Airport station (KSFO), where the maximum reached 71°F at 3:56 PM amid cloudy skies, southwest winds at 10 mph, and 39% humidity. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service records via Weather Underground, capping a volatile March featuring record-shattering heat—downtown SF hit 90°F on March 20 amid a rare heat dome—but late-month low pressure and persistent marine layer suppressed intensification, returning conditions toward climatological averages of 62-65°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from equipment anomalies, though market rules disregard such changes once verified.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Mar '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$70,176结束日期
2026-03-30市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:16 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a San Francisco high temperature of 70-71°F on March 30, 2026, driven by finalized observational data from the official San Francisco International Airport station (KSFO), where the maximum reached 71°F at 3:56 PM amid cloudy skies, southwest winds at 10 mph, and 39% humidity. This outcome aligns with National Weather Service records via Weather Underground, capping a volatile March featuring record-shattering heat—downtown SF hit 90°F on March 20 amid a rare heat dome—but late-month low pressure and persistent marine layer suppressed intensification, returning conditions toward climatological averages of 62-65°F. Scenarios challenging this include rare post-finalization data revisions from equipment anomalies, though market rules disregard such changes once verified.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题