Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 60-61°F as the leading outcome at 37.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing a shift from March's record-shattering heatwave—where downtown SF hit 90°F for the first time ever—to cooler conditions driven by a departing heat dome and incoming low-pressure system from the Pacific. Strengthening onshore winds and persistent marine layer, fueled by cool coastal waters around 53°F, are expected to cap highs below climatological April norms of 64-66°F, with model ensembles converging on mid-60s at most amid scattered light precipitation risks. New forecast updates from NOAA on March 30-31 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on April 1?
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 30%
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
53°F or below
7%
54-55°F
4%
56-57°F
16%
58-59°F
11%
60-61°F
38%
62-63°F
30%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
18%
68-69°F
10%
70-71°F
9%
72°F or higher
10%
60-61°F 38%
62-63°F 30%
64-65°F 27%
66-67°F 18%
NEW
NEW
Apr 1, 2026
53°F or below
$336 交易量
7%
54-55°F
$10 交易量
4%
56-57°F
$2 交易量
16%
58-59°F
$0 交易量
11%
60-61°F
$23 交易量
38%
62-63°F
$2 交易量
30%
64-65°F
$0 交易量
27%
66-67°F
$5 交易量
18%
68-69°F
$2 交易量
10%
70-71°F
$6 交易量
9%
72°F or higher
$140 交易量
10%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 60-61°F as the leading outcome at 37.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing a shift from March's record-shattering heatwave—where downtown SF hit 90°F for the first time ever—to cooler conditions driven by a departing heat dome and incoming low-pressure system from the Pacific. Strengthening onshore winds and persistent marine layer, fueled by cool coastal waters around 53°F, are expected to cap highs below climatological April norms of 64-66°F, with model ensembles converging on mid-60s at most amid scattered light precipitation risks. New forecast updates from NOAA on March 30-31 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ET
交易量
$527结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 60-61°F as the leading outcome at 37.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing a shift from March's record-shattering heatwave—where downtown SF hit 90°F for the first time ever—to cooler conditions driven by a departing heat dome and incoming low-pressure system from the Pacific. Strengthening onshore winds and persistent marine layer, fueled by cool coastal waters around 53°F, are expected to cap highs below climatological April norms of 64-66°F, with model ensembles converging on mid-60s at most amid scattered light precipitation risks. New forecast updates from NOAA on March 30-31 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns evolve.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$527结束日期
Apr 1, 2026市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 4:12 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 60-61°F as the leading outcome at 37.5% implied probability for San Francisco's highest temperature on April 1, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts showing a shift from March's record-shattering heatwave—where downtown SF hit 90°F for the first time ever—to cooler conditions driven by a departing heat dome and incoming low-pressure system from the Pacific. Strengthening onshore winds and persistent marine layer, fueled by cool coastal waters around 53°F, are expected to cap highs below climatological April norms of 64-66°F, with model ensembles converging on mid-60s at most amid scattered light precipitation risks. New forecast updates from NOAA on March 30-31 could refine these odds as upper-air patterns evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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