Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?

Name: Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?
Start: 2026-03-21T10:27:53.998Z
End: 2026-03-25T12:00:00.000Z

Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?

Mar 25

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

Mar 25

Mar 26

Mar 27

Mar 28

13°C 100.0%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

$245,403 交易量

Mar 25, 2026

13°C

$50,742 交易量

100%

14°C

$18,577 交易量

<1%

15°C

$20,855 交易量

<1%

16°C

$12,191 交易量

<1%

17°C or higher

$13,011 交易量

<1%

13°C 100.0%

14°C <1%

15°C <1%

16°C <1%

$245,403 交易量

Mar 25, 2026

13°C

$50,742 交易量

100%

14°C

$18,577 交易量

<1%

15°C

$20,855 交易量

<1%

16°C

$12,191 交易量

<1%

17°C or higher

$13,011 交易量

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Mar '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

已提议结果: No

无争议

最终结果: No

Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to a high temperature of exactly 13°C in Paris on March 25, backed by the latest Météo-France and ECMWF forecast ensembles showing tight clustering around this value amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly flows. Current observations confirm stable mild conditions over Western Europe, with surface temperatures hovering near seasonal norms (historical late-March highs average 12–14°C) and no advection of warmer air masses. Model agreement stems from consistent guidance on light winds and overcast skies suppressing daytime heating. Scenarios challenging this include a sudden clear-sky breakout or unexpected southerly wind shift boosting solar insolation, though upper-air patterns make such shifts improbable; watch for final hourly updates from official Paris stations as resolution nears.

基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于 Mar 25, 2026, 11:32 PM UTC

警惕外部链接哦。

常见问题

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"是 Polymarket 上一个拥有 11 个可能结果的预测市场，交易者根据自己的判断买卖份额。当前领先结果为"13°C"，概率为 100%，其次是"14°C"，概率为 0%。价格反映社区的实时概率。例如，价格为 100¢ 的份额意味着市场集体认为该结果的概率为 100%。这些赔率会随着交易者的反应而不断变化。正确结果的份额在市场结算时可兑换为每份 $1。

截至目前，"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"已产生 $245.4K 的总交易量（自Mar 21, 2026市场上线以来）。这一活跃度反映了 Polymarket 社区的高度参与，并确保当前赔率由广泛的市场参与者共同形成。你可以直接在本页追踪实时价格变动并交易任何结果。

要在"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"上交易，浏览本页上列出的 11 个可用结果。每个结果显示一个代表市场隐含概率的当前价格。要建仓，选择你认为最可能的结果，选择"是"支持或"否"反对，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你选择的结果在市场结算时正确，你的"是"份额每份支付 $1。如果不正确，支付 $0。你也可以在结算前随时卖出份额。

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"的当前领先者是"13°C"，概率为 100%，意味着市场对该结果的概率评估为 100%。紧随其后的结果是"14°C"，概率为 0%。这些赔率随着交易者买卖份额而实时更新。请经常回来查看或将本页加入书签。

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"的结算规则明确定义了每个结果被宣布为获胜者所需满足的条件——包括用于确定结果的官方数据来源。你可以在本页评论上方的"规则"部分查看完整的结算标准。我们建议在交易前仔细阅读规则，因为它们规定了精确的条件、特殊情况和数据来源。

可以。你不需要交易也能保持了解。本页是"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"的实时跟踪器。结果概率会随着新交易的进入而实时更新。你可以将本页加入书签并查看评论区以了解其他交易者的看法。你还可以使用图表上的时间范围筛选器查看赔率随时间的变化情况。

Polymarket 的赔率由真实交易者用真金白银支持其判断来设定，这往往能产生准确的预测。“Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?”的交易量达到 $245.4K，这些价格汇聚了数千名参与者的集体知识和信念——通常优于民调、专家预测和传统调查。像 Polymarket 这样的预测市场有着出色的准确性记录，尤其是当事件接近结算日期时。例如，Polymarket 的一个月准确度评分为 94%。有关 Polymarket 预测准确度的最新统计数据，请访问准确度页面。

要在"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"上进行第一笔交易，请注册免费的 Polymarket 账户，并使用加密货币、信用卡或借记卡或银行转账充值。账户充值后，返回本页，选择你想交易的结果，输入金额并点击"交易"。如果你是预测市场的新手，请点击任何 Polymarket 页面顶部的"运作方式"链接，获取分步指南。

在 Polymarket 上，每个结果的价格代表市场的隐含概率。在"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"市场中，"13°C"的价格为 100¢，意味着交易者集体认为"13°C"成为正确结果的概率约为 100%。如果你以 100¢ 买入"是"份额且结果正确，你将获得每份 $1.00——利润为每份 0¢。如果不正确，这些份额价值 $0。

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"市场的预定截止日期已过，但市场尚未正式结算。截止日期表示基础事件预计发生或可知的时间。市场在结果正式结算前仍保持开放交易。请查看本页上的结算状态和"规则"部分以获取最新信息。

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"市场有一个活跃的社区，有 149 条评论，交易者在此分享分析、讨论结果和最新动态。向下滚动到评论区，阅读其他参与者的观点。你还可以按"持仓大户"筛选，或查看"活动"标签以获取实时交易动态。

Polymarket 是全球最大的预测市场，你可以在此了解最新动态并利用自己对现实事件的知识获利。交易者买卖涵盖政治选举、加密货币、金融、体育、科技和文化等各种主题的结果份额，包括"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"等市场。价格反映由金融信念支持的实时概率，通常比民调、专家或传统调查提供更快、更准确的信号。

Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?

Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?

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评论 (149)

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常见问题

什么是"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"预测市场？

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"在 Polymarket 上产生了多少交易活动？

如何在"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"上交易？

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"的当前赔率是多少？

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"如何结算？

我可以在不交易的情况下关注"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"吗？

为什么 Polymarket 对"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"的赔率被认为是可靠的？

如何开始在"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"上交易？

"13°C"的价格 100¢ 意味着什么？

"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"市场何时关闭？

交易者对"Highest temperature in Paris on March 25?"有什么看法？

什么是 Polymarket？