Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 1?
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$333,921 交易量
$333,921 交易量
2026-04-01
69°F or below
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
Yes
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88°F or higher
No
78-79°F 100.0%
69°F or below <1%
70-71°F <1%
72-73°F <1%
$333,921 交易量
$333,921 交易量
2026-04-01
69°F or below
$21,741 交易量
No
70-71°F
$20,173 交易量
No
72-73°F
$69,716 交易量
No
74-75°F
$21,758 交易量
No
76-77°F
$25,840 交易量
No
78-79°F
$44,058 交易量
Yes
80-81°F
$55,150 交易量
No
82-83°F
$38,173 交易量
No
84-85°F
$13,434 交易量
No
86-87°F
$7,436 交易量
No
88°F or higher
$16,442 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
交易量
$333,921结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$333,921结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:37 PM ET已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Official National Weather Service observations from LaGuardia Airport (KLGA) station in New York City confirm the highest temperature on April 1, 2026, reached 79°F, placing it firmly in the 78-79°F range with 100% market-implied probability. This peak, recorded amid partly sunny skies and southwest winds gusting over 20 mph, exceeded NWS pre-day forecasts of near 76°F but aligned with ongoing unseasonably warm patterns following March's record early 80°F readings at nearby Central Park. Far above the 55°F climatological normal, the warmth stemmed from persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly air flow. Realistic challenges are minimal—only rare post hoc data revisions by NOAA could alter resolution, as daily summaries are typically finalized swiftly.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题