Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Milan recording its highest temperature on March 27 between 14°C and 16°C, with 14°C leading at 29.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating daytime highs in this narrow range under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened around a mean of about 15°C, driven by persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds, though slight disagreements persist on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development that could cap peaks at 14°C or push to 16°C. Historical late-March averages for Milan hover near 13-14°C, making this outlook warmer than climatology but within spring variability; new 12Z forecast updates from European models expected soon could refine these market-implied odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on March 27?
14°C 30%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
13°C 12%
$11,409 交易量
$11,409 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
12%
14°C
30%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
3%
14°C 30%
15°C 24%
16°C 24%
13°C 12%
$11,409 交易量
$11,409 交易量
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
2%
12°C
4%
13°C
12%
14°C
30%
15°C
24%
16°C
24%
17°C
6%
18°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Milan recording its highest temperature on March 27 between 14°C and 16°C, with 14°C leading at 29.5%, reflecting the latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts indicating daytime highs in this narrow range under a high-pressure ridge ushering mild continental air into northern Italy. Recent model runs over the past 48 hours have tightened around a mean of about 15°C, driven by persistent sunny skies and light southerly winds, though slight disagreements persist on boundary layer mixing and afternoon cloud development that could cap peaks at 14°C or push to 16°C. Historical late-March averages for Milan hover near 13-14°C, making this outlook warmer than climatology but within spring variability; new 12Z forecast updates from European models expected soon could refine these market-implied odds further.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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