Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian services like 3B Meteo converge on a maximum temperature of 22-24°C in Milan on April 6, driving trader consensus toward 23°C (27%) and 24°C (22%) as leading outcomes. This follows a recent cool spell with gales across northern Italy through early April, now yielding to a high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley for Easter Monday (Pasquetta), fostering mild conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Differentiating factors include variable high cloud veils potentially curbing solar insolation—favoring 23°C as the model mean—versus clearer skies pushing toward 24-25°C; lower odds for extremes reflect climatological spring variability and station-specific measurements at Milan Linate or Malpensa. New model runs daily through April 5 could narrow the spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于4月6日米兰最高气温?
4月6日米兰最高气温?
23°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 13%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
9%
27°C或更高
11%
23°C 27%
24°C 23%
22°C 18%
25°C 13%
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
3%
20°C
7%
21°C
8%
22°C
18%
23°C
27%
24°C
23%
25°C
13%
26°C
9%
27°C或更高
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Apr 2, 2026, 6:03 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Italian services like 3B Meteo converge on a maximum temperature of 22-24°C in Milan on April 6, driving trader consensus toward 23°C (27%) and 24°C (22%) as leading outcomes. This follows a recent cool spell with gales across northern Italy through early April, now yielding to a high-pressure ridge over the Po Valley for Easter Monday (Pasquetta), fostering mild conditions with partly cloudy skies and light winds. Differentiating factors include variable high cloud veils potentially curbing solar insolation—favoring 23°C as the model mean—versus clearer skies pushing toward 24-25°C; lower odds for extremes reflect climatological spring variability and station-specific measurements at Milan Linate or Malpensa. New model runs daily through April 5 could narrow the spread.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题