National Weather Service guidance for Miami on March 27 projects a daytime high near 83°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 82-83°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (29.0%). Global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on the low-to-mid 80s, boosted by Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F and minimal sea breeze penetration early in the day, though afternoon onshore flow could cap peaks at 81°F. March climatology averages 81°F, consistent with recent highs of 82-84°F amid neutral ENSO conditions. Uncertainty stems from cloud evolution and precise boundary layer mixing; hourly forecast updates from NOAA later today may resolve the tight race between top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
Highest temperature in Miami on March 27?
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 14%
$17,702 交易量
$17,702 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 31%
80-81°F 31%
84-85°F 14%
78-79°F 14%
$17,702 交易量
$17,702 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
8%
78-79°F
14%
80-81°F
31%
82-83°F
31%
84-85°F
14%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
2%
90°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service guidance for Miami on March 27 projects a daytime high near 83°F under mostly sunny conditions with light southerly winds, driving closely matched market-implied odds for 82-83°F (30.5%) and 80-81°F (29.0%). Global ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF converge on the low-to-mid 80s, boosted by Atlantic sea surface temperatures around 78°F and minimal sea breeze penetration early in the day, though afternoon onshore flow could cap peaks at 81°F. March climatology averages 81°F, consistent with recent highs of 82-84°F amid neutral ENSO conditions. Uncertainty stems from cloud evolution and precise boundary layer mixing; hourly forecast updates from NOAA later today may resolve the tight race between top outcomes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题