Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) confirm Madrid's highest temperature on March 25 reached 22°C at key stations like Barajas Airport and Retiro Park, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected mild spring conditions under high-pressure influence with daytime highs in the low 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 22°C at virtually 100% implied probability as real-time station readings throughout the day peaked there without exceeding it. While post-measurement revisions from quality control are theoretically possible—such as sensor recalibrations—their historical rarity in stable urban settings makes challenges unlikely; upcoming AEMET bulletins could provide final validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Madrid on March 25?
Highest temperature in Madrid on March 25?
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$116,201 交易量
$116,201 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
22°C 100.0%
23°C <1%
24°C or higher <1%
$116,201 交易量
$116,201 交易量
22°C
100%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 21, 2026, 6:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official observations from Spain's State Meteorological Agency (AEMET) confirm Madrid's highest temperature on March 25 reached 22°C at key stations like Barajas Airport and Retiro Park, aligning with pre-event forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models that projected mild spring conditions under high-pressure influence with daytime highs in the low 20s Celsius. Trader sentiment reflects this verified data, pricing 22°C at virtually 100% implied probability as real-time station readings throughout the day peaked there without exceeding it. While post-measurement revisions from quality control are theoretically possible—such as sensor recalibrations—their historical rarity in stable urban settings makes challenges unlikely; upcoming AEMET bulletins could provide final validation.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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