Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C as London's highest temperature on March 20, propelled by the Met Office's latest forecast indicating a daytime peak of 13-15°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly breezes. ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models converge on this range, reflecting low forecast uncertainty from consistent upper-air patterns verified by radiosonde data. March climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 Heathrow averages at 11.5°C highs, though mild Atlantic influences have nudged recent days upward. Realistic challenges include a sudden warm front elevating temps to 16°C+ or northerly winds introducing colder air below 14°C, but current synoptic charts deem both improbable without major model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于3月20日伦敦气温最高?
3月20日伦敦气温最高?
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
14°C 100.0%
8°C或以下 <1%
9°C <1%
10°C <1%
$0.00 交易量
$0.00 交易量
8°C或以下
否
9°C
否
10°C
否
11°C
否
12°C
否
13°C
否
14°C
是
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
否
18°C或更高
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 16, 2026, 6:01 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: 否
无争议
最终结果: 否
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 14°C as London's highest temperature on March 20, propelled by the Met Office's latest forecast indicating a daytime peak of 13-15°C amid stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly breezes. ECMWF and UKMO ensemble models converge on this range, reflecting low forecast uncertainty from consistent upper-air patterns verified by radiosonde data. March climatology supports this, with 1991-2020 Heathrow averages at 11.5°C highs, though mild Atlantic influences have nudged recent days upward. Realistic challenges include a sudden warm front elevating temps to 16°C+ or northerly winds introducing colder air below 14°C, but current synoptic charts deem both improbable without major model shifts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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