Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms the highest air temperature at its headquarters reached 27.1°C on April 3, 2026, under warm, humid conditions with cloudy skies, light showers, and just 1.0 hour of sunshine, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting 24–28°C highs amid a normal to above-normal seasonal temperature outlook following an unseasonably warm March. While regional automatic weather stations recorded peaks up to 29.6°C at Tai Po, market resolution sources HKO headquarters measurements as the authoritative benchmark. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable data revisions from quality-controlled observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 3?
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$220,167 交易量
$220,167 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
27°C 99.8%
28°C <1%
29°C or higher <1%
19°C or below <1%
$220,167 交易量
$220,167 交易量
2026-04-03
19°C or below
$3,372 交易量
<1%
20°C
$4,002 交易量
<1%
21°C
$4,005 交易量
<1%
22°C
$6,216 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,590 交易量
<1%
24°C
$10,157 交易量
<1%
25°C
$23,655 交易量
<1%
26°C
$28,109 交易量
<1%
27°C
$104,700 交易量
100%
28°C
$17,767 交易量
<1%
29°C or higher
$12,596 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms the highest air temperature at its headquarters reached 27.1°C on April 3, 2026, under warm, humid conditions with cloudy skies, light showers, and just 1.0 hour of sunshine, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting 24–28°C highs amid a normal to above-normal seasonal temperature outlook following an unseasonably warm March. While regional automatic weather stations recorded peaks up to 29.6°C at Tai Po, market resolution sources HKO headquarters measurements as the authoritative benchmark. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable data revisions from quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
交易量
$220,167结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms the highest air temperature at its headquarters reached 27.1°C on April 3, 2026, under warm, humid conditions with cloudy skies, light showers, and just 1.0 hour of sunshine, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting 24–28°C highs amid a normal to above-normal seasonal temperature outlook following an unseasonably warm March. While regional automatic weather stations recorded peaks up to 29.6°C at Tai Po, market resolution sources HKO headquarters measurements as the authoritative benchmark. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable data revisions from quality-controlled observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$220,167结束日期
2026-04-03市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data confirms the highest air temperature at its headquarters reached 27.1°C on April 3, 2026, under warm, humid conditions with cloudy skies, light showers, and just 1.0 hour of sunshine, driving trader consensus to a 99.9% implied probability for the 27°C outcome. This aligns with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting 24–28°C highs amid a normal to above-normal seasonal temperature outlook following an unseasonably warm March. While regional automatic weather stations recorded peaks up to 29.6°C at Tai Po, market resolution sources HKO headquarters measurements as the authoritative benchmark. Realistic challenges are minimal, limited to improbable data revisions from quality-controlled observations.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题