Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 27°C at the Observatory headquarters, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds elsewhere. This aligns with direct observations from automated weather stations under standard protocols, supported by mild southerly winds, ample sunshine, and seasonal patterns forecasting normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid a projected hot 2026. Pre-event model consensus had anticipated highs near 28°C, but actual conditions yielded slightly cooler peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked regional maxima exceeding 27°C, though historical precedents show such revisions occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 1?
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$221,180 交易量
$221,180 交易量
2026-04-01
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$221,180 交易量
$221,180 交易量
2026-04-01
20°C or below
$16,764 交易量
No
21°C
$19,996 交易量
No
22°C
$18,076 交易量
No
23°C
$18,807 交易量
No
24°C
$18,489 交易量
No
25°C
$20,127 交易量
No
26°C
$24,743 交易量
No
27°C
$41,916 交易量
Yes
28°C
$20,019 交易量
No
29°C
$13,046 交易量
No
30°C or higher
$9,197 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 27°C at the Observatory headquarters, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds elsewhere. This aligns with direct observations from automated weather stations under standard protocols, supported by mild southerly winds, ample sunshine, and seasonal patterns forecasting normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid a projected hot 2026. Pre-event model consensus had anticipated highs near 28°C, but actual conditions yielded slightly cooler peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked regional maxima exceeding 27°C, though historical precedents show such revisions occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
交易量
$221,180结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 27°C at the Observatory headquarters, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds elsewhere. This aligns with direct observations from automated weather stations under standard protocols, supported by mild southerly winds, ample sunshine, and seasonal patterns forecasting normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid a projected hot 2026. Pre-event model consensus had anticipated highs near 28°C, but actual conditions yielded slightly cooler peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked regional maxima exceeding 27°C, though historical precedents show such revisions occur infrequently.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$221,180结束日期
2026-04-01市场开放时间
Mar 29, 2026, 2:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Hong Kong Observatory's official measurements confirm the highest temperature on April 1 reached 27°C at the Observatory headquarters, solidifying trader consensus at a 100% implied probability for this outcome amid negligible odds elsewhere. This aligns with direct observations from automated weather stations under standard protocols, supported by mild southerly winds, ample sunshine, and seasonal patterns forecasting normal to above-normal temperatures for April amid a projected hot 2026. Pre-event model consensus had anticipated highs near 28°C, but actual conditions yielded slightly cooler peaks. Realistic challenges are minimal post-resolution, limited to rare data audits revealing overlooked regional maxima exceeding 27°C, though historical precedents show such revisions occur infrequently.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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