Trader consensus on Polymarket places Chicago's March 27 high temperature most likely in the 40-43°F range, with 42-43°F (29.5%) edging 40-41°F (29.0%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicating peaks around 41-43°F under persistent cool northerly flow and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include GFS ensemble runs trending slightly warmer (near 43°F) due to modest downslope effects, contrasted by ECMWF's cooler bias (41°F) from anticipated low-level stratus. Recent O'Hare observations show diurnal highs in the upper 30s this week, aligning with seasonal norms for late March amid a neutral-to-weak El Niño transition. New 00z model updates tonight could shift odds as uncertainty in boundary layer mixing resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?
Highest temperature in Chicago on March 27?
40-41°F 29%
42-43°F 29%
38-39°F 15%
44-45°F 13.9%
$28,470 交易量
$28,470 交易量
33°F or below
2%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
15%
40-41°F
29%
42-43°F
29%
44-45°F
14%
46-47°F
10%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
40-41°F 29%
42-43°F 29%
38-39°F 15%
44-45°F 13.9%
$28,470 交易量
$28,470 交易量
33°F or below
2%
34-35°F
3%
36-37°F
6%
38-39°F
15%
40-41°F
29%
42-43°F
29%
44-45°F
14%
46-47°F
10%
48-49°F
3%
50-51°F
1%
52°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间: Mar 23, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket places Chicago's March 27 high temperature most likely in the 40-43°F range, with 42-43°F (29.5%) edging 40-41°F (29.0%), driven by the latest National Weather Service forecast models indicating peaks around 41-43°F under persistent cool northerly flow and partial cloud cover. Differentiating factors include GFS ensemble runs trending slightly warmer (near 43°F) due to modest downslope effects, contrasted by ECMWF's cooler bias (41°F) from anticipated low-level stratus. Recent O'Hare observations show diurnal highs in the upper 30s this week, aligning with seasonal norms for late March amid a neutral-to-weak El Niño transition. New 00z model updates tonight could shift odds as uncertainty in boundary layer mixing resolves.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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