Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend into April 6 following a warm early-month pattern in Austin, with highs clustered in the low to mid-70s°F due to an incoming cold front late on April 5 bringing showers and thunderstorms. Lingering cloud cover and cooler post-frontal air mass—potentially with northwesterly winds—suppress maximum temperatures below the climatological average of around 78°F, differentiating the leading 72-73°F (26%) from slightly cooler 70-71°F (21%) or warmer 74-75°F (19%) outcomes based on frontal timing and clearing speed. Model ensembles indicate uncertainty in boundary layer recovery, with daily NWS updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 6?
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
61°F or below
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
5%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
27%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
11%
80°F or higher
2%
70-71°F 27%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 19%
68-69°F 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-06
61°F or below
$311 交易量
1%
62-63°F
$329 交易量
1%
64-65°F
$101 交易量
5%
66-67°F
$107 交易量
4%
68-69°F
$77 交易量
14%
70-71°F
$94 交易量
27%
72-73°F
$155 交易量
27%
74-75°F
$142 交易量
19%
76-77°F
$57 交易量
13%
78-79°F
$52 交易量
11%
80°F or higher
$84 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend into April 6 following a warm early-month pattern in Austin, with highs clustered in the low to mid-70s°F due to an incoming cold front late on April 5 bringing showers and thunderstorms. Lingering cloud cover and cooler post-frontal air mass—potentially with northwesterly winds—suppress maximum temperatures below the climatological average of around 78°F, differentiating the leading 72-73°F (26%) from slightly cooler 70-71°F (21%) or warmer 74-75°F (19%) outcomes based on frontal timing and clearing speed. Model ensembles indicate uncertainty in boundary layer recovery, with daily NWS updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
交易量
$1,489结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend into April 6 following a warm early-month pattern in Austin, with highs clustered in the low to mid-70s°F due to an incoming cold front late on April 5 bringing showers and thunderstorms. Lingering cloud cover and cooler post-frontal air mass—potentially with northwesterly winds—suppress maximum temperatures below the climatological average of around 78°F, differentiating the leading 72-73°F (26%) from slightly cooler 70-71°F (21%) or warmer 74-75°F (19%) outcomes based on frontal timing and clearing speed. Model ensembles indicate uncertainty in boundary layer recovery, with daily NWS updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$1,489结束日期
2026-04-06市场开放时间
Apr 2, 2026, 6:04 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects National Weather Service guidance showing a cooling trend into April 6 following a warm early-month pattern in Austin, with highs clustered in the low to mid-70s°F due to an incoming cold front late on April 5 bringing showers and thunderstorms. Lingering cloud cover and cooler post-frontal air mass—potentially with northwesterly winds—suppress maximum temperatures below the climatological average of around 78°F, differentiating the leading 72-73°F (26%) from slightly cooler 70-71°F (21%) or warmer 74-75°F (19%) outcomes based on frontal timing and clearing speed. Model ensembles indicate uncertainty in boundary layer recovery, with daily NWS updates and new GFS/ECMWF runs expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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