With all 35 entries now selected following a flurry of national finals—including Germany's fresh pick of Sarah Engels' high-energy "Fire" and standouts like Armenia's Simón with "Paloma Rumba"—trader consensus on Polymarket and bookmakers crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner for a top-five finish, buoyed by explosive YouTube views and televote potential from its fiery pop staging. Denmark, France's operatic "Regarde!", and Australia trail closely, reflecting Nordic powerhouse momentum and strong precursor polls amid Vienna's 70th anniversary hype. Jury-televote splits and geopolitical buzz around Israel add volatility; watch pre-parties and May 12/14 semi-finals for shifts before the May 16 grand final at Wiener Stadthalle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于Eurovision 2026: Top 5
Eurovision 2026: Top 5
$33,555 交易量

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Israel
57%

Denmark
59%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Germany
14%

Georgia
14%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Austria
10%
$33,555 交易量

Finland
82%

Greece
59%

Israel
57%

Denmark
59%

France
57%

Australia
53%

Sweden
41%

Ukraine
38%

Romania
31%

Italy
33%

Malta
21%

Czechia
18%

Cyprus
17%

Bulgaria
16%

Moldova
15%

Armenia
15%

Croatia
14%

Germany
14%

Georgia
14%

Norway
13%

Montenegro
12%

Poland
11%

Serbia
11%

Albania
10%

United Kingdom
10%

San Marino
10%

Latvia
10%

Luxembourg
9%

Belgium
9%

Portugal
8%

Azerbaijan
8%

Estonia
8%

Switzerland
11%

Lithuania
11%

Austria
10%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
市场开放时间: Mar 9, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to finish as one of the top 5 highest scorers based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...With all 35 entries now selected following a flurry of national finals—including Germany's fresh pick of Sarah Engels' high-energy "Fire" and standouts like Armenia's Simón with "Paloma Rumba"—trader consensus on Polymarket and bookmakers crowns Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner for a top-five finish, buoyed by explosive YouTube views and televote potential from its fiery pop staging. Denmark, France's operatic "Regarde!", and Australia trail closely, reflecting Nordic powerhouse momentum and strong precursor polls amid Vienna's 70th anniversary hype. Jury-televote splits and geopolitical buzz around Israel add volatility; watch pre-parties and May 12/14 semi-finals for shifts before the May 16 grand final at Wiener Stadthalle.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
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