Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between the 260-279 and 280-299 tweet ranges at 27.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting Elon's volatile posting cadence through April 5—170 posts over the first six days (March 31-April 5), averaging 28 daily but with spikes like 73 on April 3 amid heated AI and political discourse, offset by lows of 9 on April 4. This pace projects 253-283 total by April 7 per trackers like MuskMeter, but historical peaks of 60+ daily during viral moments fuel bets on a weekend uptick from Tesla, SpaceX updates, or cultural debates. Key swing factors: final two days' engagement bursts, as real-time events drive Elon's unpredictable X activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于280-299 29%
260-279 28%
240-259 15%
300-319 15%
$8,696,087 交易量
$8,696,087 交易量
2026-04-07
180-199
<1%
200-219
<1%
220-239
2%
240-259
15%
260-279
28%
280-299
29%
300-319
15%
320-339
6%
340-359
3%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
280-299 29%
260-279 28%
240-259 15%
300-319 15%
$8,696,087 交易量
$8,696,087 交易量
2026-04-07
180-199
$408,765 交易量
<1%
200-219
$414,367 交易量
<1%
220-239
$302,200 交易量
2%
240-259
$292,685 交易量
15%
260-279
$198,544 交易量
28%
280-299
$202,798 交易量
29%
300-319
$190,699 交易量
15%
320-339
$166,197 交易量
6%
340-359
$151,823 交易量
3%
360-379
$155,004 交易量
1%
380-399
$177,218 交易量
1%
400-419
$177,210 交易量
<1%
420-439
$214,461 交易量
<1%
440-459
$211,436 交易量
<1%
460-479
$175,827 交易量
<1%
480-499
$246,700 交易量
<1%
500-519
$242,966 交易量
<1%
520-539
$192,421 交易量
<1%
540-559
$196,126 交易量
<1%
560-579
$94,832 交易量
<1%
580+
$184,803 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between the 260-279 and 280-299 tweet ranges at 27.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting Elon's volatile posting cadence through April 5—170 posts over the first six days (March 31-April 5), averaging 28 daily but with spikes like 73 on April 3 amid heated AI and political discourse, offset by lows of 9 on April 4. This pace projects 253-283 total by April 7 per trackers like MuskMeter, but historical peaks of 60+ daily during viral moments fuel bets on a weekend uptick from Tesla, SpaceX updates, or cultural debates. Key swing factors: final two days' engagement bursts, as real-time events drive Elon's unpredictable X activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$8,696,087结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between the 260-279 and 280-299 tweet ranges at 27.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting Elon's volatile posting cadence through April 5—170 posts over the first six days (March 31-April 5), averaging 28 daily but with spikes like 73 on April 3 amid heated AI and political discourse, offset by lows of 9 on April 4. This pace projects 253-283 total by April 7 per trackers like MuskMeter, but historical peaks of 60+ daily during viral moments fuel bets on a weekend uptick from Tesla, SpaceX updates, or cultural debates. Key swing factors: final two days' engagement bursts, as real-time events drive Elon's unpredictable X activity.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from March 31 12:00 PM ET to April 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$8,696,087结束日期
2026-04-07市场开放时间
Mar 28, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket splits nearly evenly between the 260-279 and 280-299 tweet ranges at 27.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting Elon's volatile posting cadence through April 5—170 posts over the first six days (March 31-April 5), averaging 28 daily but with spikes like 73 on April 3 amid heated AI and political discourse, offset by lows of 9 on April 4. This pace projects 253-283 total by April 7 per trackers like MuskMeter, but historical peaks of 60+ daily during viral moments fuel bets on a weekend uptick from Tesla, SpaceX updates, or cultural debates. Key swing factors: final two days' engagement bursts, as real-time events drive Elon's unpredictable X activity.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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