Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, with a 96.7% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's recent $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion private valuation, eliminating near-term public market pressure amid fierce competition with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Reports from The Information and WSJ indicate executives are discussing a potential Q4 2026 debut—possibly October—targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, but no S-1 filing or official announcements signal H1 action, reinforcing caution in this capital-intensive large language model race. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected regulatory shifts favoring earlier listings or accelerated Claude model milestones prompting a surprise filing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest delays remain likely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 96.5%
6000亿美元及以上 1.8%
1000–2000亿美元 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$915,939 交易量
$915,939 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
2%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
97%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市 96.5%
6000亿美元及以上 1.8%
1000–2000亿美元 <1%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$915,939 交易量
$915,939 交易量
2026-06-30
<100B
$190,723 交易量
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
$63,218 交易量
<1%
2000亿美元–3000亿美元
$118,613 交易量
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
$60,326 交易量
<1%
4000–6000亿美元
$91,380 交易量
<1%
6000亿美元及以上
$231,286 交易量
2%
截至2026年6月30日尚未上市
$160,392 交易量
97%
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, with a 96.7% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's recent $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion private valuation, eliminating near-term public market pressure amid fierce competition with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Reports from The Information and WSJ indicate executives are discussing a potential Q4 2026 debut—possibly October—targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, but no S-1 filing or official announcements signal H1 action, reinforcing caution in this capital-intensive large language model race. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected regulatory shifts favoring earlier listings or accelerated Claude model milestones prompting a surprise filing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest delays remain likely.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间： Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ET
交易量
$915,939结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, with a 96.7% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's recent $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion private valuation, eliminating near-term public market pressure amid fierce competition with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Reports from The Information and WSJ indicate executives are discussing a potential Q4 2026 debut—possibly October—targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, but no S-1 filing or official announcements signal H1 action, reinforcing caution in this capital-intensive large language model race. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected regulatory shifts favoring earlier listings or accelerated Claude model milestones prompting a surprise filing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest delays remain likely.
This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
交易量
$915,939结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Sep 22, 2025, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors no Anthropic IPO by June 30, 2026, with a 96.7% implied probability, driven by the AI developer's recent $30 billion Series G funding round in February at a $380 billion private valuation, eliminating near-term public market pressure amid fierce competition with OpenAI and Google DeepMind. Reports from The Information and WSJ indicate executives are discussing a potential Q4 2026 debut—possibly October—targeting over $60 billion in proceeds, but no S-1 filing or official announcements signal H1 action, reinforcing caution in this capital-intensive large language model race. Scenarios challenging this include unexpected regulatory shifts favoring earlier listings or accelerated Claude model milestones prompting a surprise filing, though historical AI IPO timelines suggest delays remain likely.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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